Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Accrington Stanley FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 15 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC Wham Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
Accrington Stanley FC 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Derby County FC H 0–3 L
08 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct Morecambe FC H 3–1 W
24 Sep Bristol Rovers FC A 1–0 W
17 Sep Cheltenham Town FC H 1–0 W
13 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L
01 Oct Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
17 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
03 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–3 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.92 Accrington Stanley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Accrington Stanley FC25% Draw29% Derby County FC46%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Accrington Stanley FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Accrington Stanley FC or Derby County FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Accrington Stanley FC17% Draw49% Derby County FC34%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
12.3%
0 – 0
11%
0 – 2
9.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Accrington Stanley FC

Handicap Accrington Stanley FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 24% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Accrington Stanley FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.