Sunday , 16 August 2026

AS Saint-Étienne vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 18:00 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 37,108 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucas Stassin 9' 1–0
1–1 43' Goncalo Ramos pen
1–3 53' Desire Doue
1–4 62' Joao Neves
1–5 66' Desire Doue
1–6 90' Ibrahim M'Baye

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Étienne vs Paris Saint-Germain FCLigue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Stinat
  • Assistant 1 Hicham Zakrani
  • Assistant 2 Aurelien Berthomieu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–6 L
09 Mar Le Havre AC A 1–1 D
01 Mar OGC Nice H 1–3 L
22 Feb Angers SCO H 3–3 D
15 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
08 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar AS Saint-Étienne A 6–1 W
16 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 3–1 W
11 Mar Liverpool FC A 5–1 W
08 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 4–1 W
05 Mar Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
01 Mar Lille OSC H 4–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stade Geoffroy Guichard. AS Saint-Etienne are looking to make home advantage count against Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 9' Lucas Stassin puts AS Saint-Etienne on the lead.
  • 14' It looks like no one’s ball. Paris Saint-Germain FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 19' The travelling Paris Saint-Germain FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 24' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AS Saint-Etienne needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 26' Benjamin Bouchouari is having his name booked by the referee on 26.
  • 31' Pierre Ekwah is a natural defensive midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for AS Saint-Etienne tonight.
  • 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AS Saint-Etienne that had 427 games and scored 380 goals.
  • 41' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Enrique might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 43' What composure from Goncalo Ramos! The Portugal international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 48' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 50' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia makes it 1-2.
  • 53' Against the run of play, Desire Doue has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 57' Vitinha is replacing Warren Zaire-Emery for the Paris Saint-Germain FC side.
  • 62' Magnificent from Joao Neves! That is 12 goals in 467 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 63' A change in the AS Saint-Etienne ranks — Florian Tardieu exits the field as Louis Mouton enters on 63.
  • 64' Another substitution for Paris Saint-Germain FC to replace William Pacho by Nuno Mendes on 64 minute.
  • 66' What a strike from Desire Doue! The score is 1-5.
  • 68' The referee calls foul for Yvann Macon. He receives a card.
  • 73' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 78' Fresh legs for AS Saint-Etienne! Aimen Moueffek comes on to replace Irvin Cardona.
  • 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AS Saint-Etienne and Paris Saint-Germain FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 88' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AS Saint-Etienne and Paris Saint-Germain FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 90' Ibrahim M'Baye adds to his 1 season tally! Paris Saint-Germain FC lead 1-6 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' Dennis Appiah is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yvann Macon at the 90 minute mark.
  • Paris Saint-Germain FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 AS Saint-Étienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.65 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Saint-Étienne18% Draw20% Paris Saint-Germain FC62%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Étienne or Draw
38%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
82%
AS Saint-Étienne or Paris Saint-Germain FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Étienne15% Draw35% Paris Saint-Germain FC50%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–6 not predicted
1 – 6
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 3
7.5%
1 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
7.2%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 4
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 4
4.1%
2 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Étienne

Handicap AS Saint-Étienne covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 9% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 34% 66%
+1 34% 20% 46%
+1.5 54% 46%
+2 54% 19% 27%
+2.5 73% 27%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
8%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.