Sunday , 16 August 2026

AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 15:15 UTC Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps 16,558 HT 45' · FT 45'
Florian Aye 82' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSCLigue 1 at Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Luczynski
  • Assistant 2 Yannick Boutry

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
14 Mar OGC Nice A 1–1 D
09 Mar Stade de Reims A 2–0 W
02 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace H 0–1 L
22 Feb Olympique de Marseille H 3–0 W
14 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L
08 Mar Lille OSC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–4 L
23 Feb OGC Nice A 0–2 L
16 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–4 L
09 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AJ Auxerre side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' AJ Auxerre currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Montpellier HSC that had 417 games and scored 379 goals.
  • 18' AJ Auxerre player sees a card in front of him.
  • 23' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 28' AJ Auxerre are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 33' Both keepers have barely been tested. AJ Auxerre and Montpellier HSC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 35' The referee shows AJ Auxerre player a card on 35.
  • 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' Montpellier HSC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' The AJ Auxerre bench stirs into life. Theo Bair is withdrawn and Lassine Sinayoko gets his opportunity.
  • 47' Bamo Meite picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 52' Montpellier HSC have won 379 goals from 417 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 57' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Othmane Maamma made 417 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 62' Bamo Meite is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AJ Auxerre so far.
  • 66' Andy Delort gets the nod from Montpellier HSC. He replaces Othmane Maamma and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' Rabby Nzingoula has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joris Chotard on 71 minute.
  • 72' Montpellier HSC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Khalil Fayad is hanging Nicolas Pays on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' Another change for AJ Auxerre made on 77 minute. Fredrik Oppegard leaves to be changed by Gideon Mensah.
  • 78' Han-Noah Massengo is having his name booked by the referee on 78.
  • 82' A stunning finish from Florian Aye — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 86' Fresh legs for Montpellier HSC! Wahbi Khazri comes on to replace Jordan Ferri.
  • 87' AJ Auxerre make a change. Ki-Jana Hoever trudges off to be replaced by Paul Joly on 87 minutes.
  • AJ Auxerre celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.31 AJ Auxerre xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AJ Auxerre50% Draw28% Montpellier HSC22%
Actual: AJ Auxerre win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AJ Auxerre or Draw
78%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
50%
AJ Auxerre or Montpellier HSC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AJ Auxerre31% Draw52% Montpellier HSC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — AJ Auxerre

Handicap AJ Auxerre covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 24% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AJ Auxerre keeps clean sheet
42%
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.