Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 15:15 UTC Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps 16,558 HT 45' · FT 45'
Florian Aye 82' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Luczynski
  • Assistant 2 Yannick Boutry

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
14 Mar OGC Nice A 1–1 D
09 Mar Stade de Reims A 2–0 W
02 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace H 0–1 L
22 Feb Olympique de Marseille H 3–0 W
14 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L
08 Mar Lille OSC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–4 L
23 Feb OGC Nice A 0–2 L
16 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–4 L
09 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
AJ Auxerre this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AJ Auxerre
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AJ Auxerre host Montpellier HSC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. AJ Auxerre must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 18' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Elisha Owusu.
  • 23' Montpellier HSC come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tanguy Coulibaly, as he is very good at scoring at Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Clement Akpa.
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' Another substitution for AJ Auxerre to replace Theo Bair by Lassine Sinayoko on 46 minute.
  • 47' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bamo Meite on 47 minutes.
  • 52' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AJ Auxerre and Montpellier HSC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 57' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AJ Auxerre side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 62' It looks like no one’s ball. AJ Auxerre is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 66' Montpellier HSC ring the changes. Othmane Maamma has done his job and it is now time for Andy Delort to step up.
  • 71' Rabby Nzingoula is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joris Chotard at the 71 minute mark.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Montpellier HSC. Nicolas Pays is replaced by Khalil Fayad.
  • 77' It is a substitution in AJ Auxerre team. Fredrik Oppegard is replaced by Gideon Mensah on 77 minute.
  • 78' Han-Noah Massengo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
  • 82' Florian Aye doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Wahbi Khazri. He replaces Jordan Ferri on 86 minute.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Paul Joly. He replaces Ki-Jana Hoever on 87 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.31 AJ Auxerre xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AJ Auxerre50% Draw28% Montpellier HSC22%
Actual: AJ Auxerre win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AJ Auxerre or Draw
78%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
50%
AJ Auxerre or Montpellier HSC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AJ Auxerre31% Draw52% Montpellier HSC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — AJ Auxerre

Handicap AJ Auxerre covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 24% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AJ Auxerre keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.