Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AEK Larnaka vs FC Midtjylland, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 2

4 – 5
3 – 4 pen
Full Time
Tue 26 Jul 2022 · 15:30 UTC AEK Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
AEK Larnaka 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals FC Midtjylland

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul FC Midtjylland H 4–5 L
19 Jul FC Midtjylland A 1–1 D
15 Aug KAA Gent A 0–3 L
08 Aug KAA Gent H 1–1 D
01 Aug PFK Levski Sofia A 4–0 W
25 Jul PFK Levski Sofia H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul AEK Larnaka A 5–4 W
19 Jul AEK Larnaka H 1–1 D
25 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–2 W
04 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–0 W
21 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–1 D
30 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AEK Larnaka is hosting FC Midtjylland for another epic battle.
  • 5' Imad Faraj needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 9' Magnificent from Victor Olatunji! That is 11 goals in 30 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 12' Henrik Dalsgaard does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Midtjylland surge ahead!
  • 17' The travelling FC Midtjylland supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 22' It looks surprising AEK Larnaka does not make any changes. Angel Garcia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 27' It is a cagey affair so far. AEK Larnaka in their trying to find a way past FC Midtjylland's compact .
  • 32' Mads Thychosen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AEK Larnaka tonight.
  • 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' AEK Larnaka currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Another substitution for FC Midtjylland to replace Edward Chilufya by Pione Sisto on 46 minute.
  • 51' Adam Gyurcso has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 59' Raphael Nwadike is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
  • 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Raphael Nwadike on 60.
  • 65' Fresh legs for AEK Larnaka! Omri Altman comes on to replace Imad Faraj.
  • 69' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Juninho.
  • 73' A tactical swap from FC Midtjylland — Mads Thychosen on, Juninho off on 73 minutes.
  • 78' AEK Larnaka receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 78.
  • 83' Fresh legs for FC Midtjylland! Sory Kaba comes on to replace Gustav Isaksen.
  • 84' FC Midtjylland manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Oliver Sorensen is hanging Charles Matos on the field on 84 minute.
  • 88' The AEK Larnaka manager makes a substitution. Roberto Rosales departs to be replaced by Kypros Christoforou.
  • Full Time. FC Midtjylland beats AEK Larnaka

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.02 AEK Larnaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 FC Midtjylland xG
I would bet for: AEK Larnaka or FC Midtjylland 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AEK Larnaka38% Draw24% FC Midtjylland38%
Actual: FC Midtjylland win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

AEK Larnaka or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Midtjylland
62%
AEK Larnaka or FC Midtjylland
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AEK Larnaka31% Draw38% FC Midtjylland31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
3 – 3
3.2%
0 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AEK Larnaka

Handicap AEK Larnaka covers Push FC Midtjylland covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 17% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 17% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

AEK Larnaka keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
FC Midtjylland keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.