Sunday , 16 August 2026

AEK Larnaka vs FC Midtjylland, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 2

4 5
3 – 4 pen
Full Time
Tue 26 Jul 2022 · 15:30 UTC AEK Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
AEK Larnaka 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals FC Midtjylland

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul FC Midtjylland H 4–5 L
19 Jul FC Midtjylland A 1–1 D
15 Aug KAA Gent A 0–3 L
08 Aug KAA Gent H 1–1 D
01 Aug PFK Levski Sofia A 4–0 W
25 Jul PFK Levski Sofia H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul AEK Larnaka A 5–4 W
19 Jul AEK Larnaka H 1–1 D
25 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–2 W
04 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–0 W
21 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–1 D
30 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AEK Larnaka launch into their encounter with FC Midtjylland.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AEK Larnaka and FC Midtjylland are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 9' What a strike from Victor Olatunji! The score is 1-0.
  • 12' Henrik Dalsgaard makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and FC Midtjylland are in front.
  • 17' Spain international Oier has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 22' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
  • 37' AEK Larnaka are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Midtjylland's shape.
  • 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' The FC Midtjylland manager makes a substitution. Edward Chilufya departs to be replaced by Pione Sisto.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Roberto Rosales made 286 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 59' That is a Yellow card for FC Midtjylland. Raphael Nwadike will be fuming at that decision.
  • 60' It’s a booking for FC Midtjylland player. Raphael Nwadike gets a Yellow card.
  • 65' Omri Altman is replacing Imad Faraj for the AEK Larnaka side.
  • 69' FC Midtjylland receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 69.
  • 73' FC Midtjylland manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mads Thychosen is hanging Juninho on the field on 73 minute.
  • 78' The referee has no hesitation. Roberto Rosales is booked for AEK Larnaka — Yellow card on 78.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Sory Kaba. He replaces Gustav Isaksen on 83 minute.
  • 84' Oliver Sorensen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Charles Matos at the 84 minute mark.
  • 88' Kypros Christoforou has so much to prove this time. He replaces Roberto Rosales on 88 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 4-5 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.02 AEK Larnaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 FC Midtjylland xG
I would bet for: AEK Larnaka or FC Midtjylland 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AEK Larnaka38% Draw24% FC Midtjylland38%
Actual: FC Midtjylland win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

AEK Larnaka or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Midtjylland
62%
AEK Larnaka or FC Midtjylland
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AEK Larnaka31% Draw38% FC Midtjylland31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
3 – 3
3.2%
0 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AEK Larnaka

Handicap AEK Larnaka covers Push FC Midtjylland covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 17% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 17% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

AEK Larnaka keeps clean sheet
14%
FC Midtjylland keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.