Thursday , 2 July 2026

AEK Larnaka vs FC Midtjylland, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 2

4 5
3 – 4 pen
Full Time
Tue 26 Jul 2022 · 15:30 UTC AEK Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
AEK Larnaka 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals FC Midtjylland

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul FC Midtjylland H 4–5 L
19 Jul FC Midtjylland A 1–1 D
15 Aug KAA Gent A 0–3 L
08 Aug KAA Gent H 1–1 D
01 Aug PFK Levski Sofia A 4–0 W
25 Jul PFK Levski Sofia H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul AEK Larnaka A 5–4 W
19 Jul AEK Larnaka H 1–1 D
25 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–2 W
04 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–0 W
21 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–1 D
30 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at AEK Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Henrik Dalsgaard made 344 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 9' What a strike from Victor Olatunji! The score is 1-0.
  • 12' What an equalizer from Henrik Dalsgaard!
  • 17' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Chris Kouakou suffering a number of foals already.
  • 27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
  • 32' AEK Larnaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 42' AEK Larnaka is showing some good football. However, AEK Larnaka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' The FC Midtjylland manager makes a substitution. Edward Chilufya departs to be replaced by Pione Sisto.
  • 51' Imad Faraj has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' AEK Larnaka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 59' The referee calls foul for Raphael Nwadike. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 60' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Raphael Nwadike.
  • 65' Omri Altman is replacing Imad Faraj for the AEK Larnaka side.
  • 69' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Juninho.
  • 73' The whistle greets Juninho as he departs to be replaced by Mads Thychosen.
  • 78' Roberto Rosales was booked on 78.
  • 83' The FC Midtjylland manager makes a substitution. Gustav Isaksen departs to be replaced by Sory Kaba.
  • 84' Time for substitution for FC Midtjylland. Charles Matos is replaced by Oliver Sorensen.
  • 88' Another substitution for AEK Larnaka to replace Roberto Rosales by Kypros Christoforou on 88 minute.
  • Another three points for FC Midtjylland.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.02 AEK Larnaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 FC Midtjylland xG
I would bet for: AEK Larnaka or FC Midtjylland 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AEK Larnaka38% Draw24% FC Midtjylland38%
Actual: FC Midtjylland win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

AEK Larnaka or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Midtjylland
62%
AEK Larnaka or FC Midtjylland
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AEK Larnaka31% Draw38% FC Midtjylland31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
3 – 3
3.2%
0 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AEK Larnaka

Handicap AEK Larnaka covers Push FC Midtjylland covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 17% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 17% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

AEK Larnaka keeps clean sheet
14%
FC Midtjylland keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.