Saturday , 14 November 2026

AEK Larnaka vs FC Midtjylland, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 2

4 – 5
3 – 4 pen
Full Time
Tue 26 Jul 2022 · 15:30 UTC AEK Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
AEK Larnaka 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals FC Midtjylland

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul FC Midtjylland H 4–5 L
19 Jul FC Midtjylland A 1–1 D
15 Aug KAA Gent A 0–3 L
08 Aug KAA Gent H 1–1 D
01 Aug PFK Levski Sofia A 4–0 W
25 Jul PFK Levski Sofia H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul AEK Larnaka A 5–4 W
19 Jul AEK Larnaka H 1–1 D
25 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–2 W
04 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–0 W
21 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–1 D
30 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to AEK Arena that hosts another battle between AEK Larnaka and FC Midtjylland.
  • 5' Sory Kaba, a Guinea centre-forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 9' Victor Olatunji is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 12' What a moment for Henrik Dalsgaard! That strike on 12 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 17' AEK Larnaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 17.
  • 22' Serbia international Nenad Tomovic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 27' FC Midtjylland fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 32' The energy levels are beginning to show. José Luis Oltra might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 37' The travelling FC Midtjylland supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 42' AEK Larnaka is showing some good football. However, AEK Larnaka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' A change in the FC Midtjylland ranks — Edward Chilufya exits the field as Pione Sisto enters on 46.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Erik Sviatchenko is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AEK Larnaka.
  • 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 59' A moment of madness from Raphael Nwadike on 59 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FC Midtjylland will be frustrated.
  • 60' The referee has no hesitation. Raphael Nwadike is booked for FC Midtjylland — Yellow card on 60.
  • 65' Time for substitution for AEK Larnaka. Imad Faraj is replaced by Omri Altman.
  • 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Juninho.
  • 73' Mads Thychosen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Juninho at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' AEK Larnaka player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 83' A tactical swap from FC Midtjylland — Sory Kaba on, Gustav Isaksen off on 83 minutes.
  • 84' It is a substitution in FC Midtjylland team. Charles Matos is replaced by Oliver Sorensen on 84 minute.
  • 88' Another change for AEK Larnaka made on 88 minute. Roberto Rosales leaves to be changed by Kypros Christoforou.
  • Another three points for FC Midtjylland.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.02 AEK Larnaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 FC Midtjylland xG
I would bet for: AEK Larnaka or FC Midtjylland 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AEK Larnaka38% Draw24% FC Midtjylland38%
Actual: FC Midtjylland win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

AEK Larnaka or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Midtjylland
62%
AEK Larnaka or FC Midtjylland
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AEK Larnaka31% Draw38% FC Midtjylland31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
3 – 3
3.2%
0 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AEK Larnaka

Handicap AEK Larnaka covers Push FC Midtjylland covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 17% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 17% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

AEK Larnaka keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
FC Midtjylland keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.