Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Midtjylland vs AEK Larnaka, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 2

Tue 19 Jul 2022 · 17:45 UTC MCH Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Midtjylland vs AEK LarnakaChampions League at MCH Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Novak Simovic
  • Referee Nikola Djorovic (Serbia)
  • Referee Milos Simovic (Serbia)
  • Referee Jovan Segrt (Serbia)

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Midtjylland 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals AEK Larnaka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul AEK Larnaka H 1–1 D
25 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–2 W
04 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–0 W
21 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–1 D
30 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–3 L
16 Sep PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul FC Midtjylland A 1–1 D
15 Aug KAA Gent A 0–3 L
08 Aug KAA Gent H 1–1 D
01 Aug PFK Levski Sofia A 4–0 W
25 Jul PFK Levski Sofia H 3–0 W
18 Jul CS Petrocub Hincesti A 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at MCH Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nenad Tomovic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 19' It’s a booking for FC Midtjylland player. Raphael Nwadike gets a Yellow card.
  • 24' It looks surprising FC Midtjylland does not make any changes. Elias Olafsson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 29' FC Midtjylland seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' AEK Larnaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
  • 44' Another change for FC Midtjylland made on 44 minute. Evander leaves to be changed by Charles Matos.
  • 49' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 54' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' Charles Matos was booked on 57.
  • 59' The whistle greets Edward Chilufya as he departs to be replaced by Victor Lind.
  • 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
  • 69' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Midtjylland is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 75' It is a substitution in FC Midtjylland team. Gustav Isaksen is replaced by Sory Kaba on 75 minute.
  • 80' Supporters expect more eagerness from Edward Chilufya, as he is very good at scoring at MCH Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 82' The whistle greets Ivan Trickovski as he departs to be replaced by Omri Altman.
  • 83' Omri Altman has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ivan Trickovski on 83 minute.
  • 84' Goal! Erik Sviatchenko scores his 7 goal in 225 matches.
  • 87' Victor Lind was booked on 87.
  • 90' Kenan Piric was booked on 90.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 FC Midtjylland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 AEK Larnaka xG
I would bet for: FC Midtjylland or AEK Larnaka 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Midtjylland40% Draw29% AEK Larnaka31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

FC Midtjylland or Draw
69%
Draw or AEK Larnaka
60%
FC Midtjylland or AEK Larnaka
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Midtjylland27% Draw49% AEK Larnaka24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Midtjylland

Handicap FC Midtjylland covers Push AEK Larnaka covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Midtjylland keeps clean sheet
32%
AEK Larnaka keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.