Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Midtjylland vs AEK Larnaka, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 2

Tue 19 Jul 2022 · 17:45 UTC MCH Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Midtjylland vs AEK LarnakaChampions League at MCH Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Novak Simovic
  • Referee Nikola Djorovic (Serbia)
  • Referee Milos Simovic (Serbia)
  • Referee Jovan Segrt (Serbia)

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Midtjylland 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals AEK Larnaka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul AEK Larnaka H 1–1 D
25 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–2 W
04 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–0 W
21 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–1 D
30 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–3 L
16 Sep PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul FC Midtjylland A 1–1 D
15 Aug KAA Gent A 0–3 L
08 Aug KAA Gent H 1–1 D
01 Aug PFK Levski Sofia A 4–0 W
25 Jul PFK Levski Sofia H 3–0 W
18 Jul CS Petrocub Hînceşti A 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at MCH Arena as FC Midtjylland face off against AEK Larnaka in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at MCH Arena. AEK Larnaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' AEK Larnaka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 19' Raphael Nwadike has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 19.
  • 24' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 29' AEK Larnaka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AEK Larnaka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 39' FC Midtjylland are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 44' Charles Matos gets the nod from FC Midtjylland. He replaces Evander and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 49' FC Midtjylland have won 96 goals from 225 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 54' The energy levels are beginning to show. José Luis Oltra might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 57' The referee shows FC Midtjylland player a Yellow card on 57.
  • 59' Another substitution for FC Midtjylland to replace Edward Chilufya by Victor Lind on 59 minute.
  • 64' Elias Olafsson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 74' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Midtjylland must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 75' Time for substitution for FC Midtjylland. Gustav Isaksen is replaced by Sory Kaba.
  • 80' AEK Larnaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 82' Omri Altman gets the nod from AEK Larnaka. He replaces Ivan Trickovski and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Fresh legs for AEK Larnaka! Omri Altman comes on to replace Ivan Trickovski.
  • 84' What a moment for Erik Sviatchenko! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 87' Victor Lind was booked on 87.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Kenan Piric. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 FC Midtjylland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 AEK Larnaka xG
I would bet for: FC Midtjylland or AEK Larnaka 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Midtjylland40% Draw29% AEK Larnaka31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

FC Midtjylland or Draw
69%
Draw or AEK Larnaka
60%
FC Midtjylland or AEK Larnaka
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Midtjylland27% Draw49% AEK Larnaka24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Midtjylland

Handicap FC Midtjylland covers Push AEK Larnaka covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Midtjylland keeps clean sheet
32%
AEK Larnaka keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.