Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Midtjylland vs AEK Larnaka, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 2

Tue 19 Jul 2022 · 17:45 UTC MCH Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Midtjylland vs AEK Larnaka — Champions League at MCH Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Novak Simovic
  • Referee Nikola Djorovic (Serbia)
  • Referee Milos Simovic (Serbia)
  • Referee Jovan Segrt (Serbia)

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Midtjylland 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals AEK Larnaka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul AEK Larnaka H 1–1 D
25 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–2 W
04 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–0 W
21 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–1 D
30 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–3 L
16 Sep PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul FC Midtjylland A 1–1 D
15 Aug KAA Gent A 0–3 L
08 Aug KAA Gent H 1–1 D
01 Aug PFK Levski Sofia A 4–0 W
25 Jul PFK Levski Sofia H 3–0 W
18 Jul CS Petrocub Hincesti A 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Midtjylland and AEK Larnaka get this one started.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Henriksen might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 19' Raphael Nwadike is having his name booked by the referee on 19.
  • 24' Over 24 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 29' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 34' The 31-year-old Sory Kaba has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 44' The FC Midtjylland manager makes a substitution. Evander departs to be replaced by Charles Matos.
  • 49' Raphael Nwadike has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 54' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Midtjylland is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' Charles Matos has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 57.
  • 59' Victor Lind is replacing Edward Chilufya for the FC Midtjylland side.
  • 64' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 69' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Midtjylland in their trying to find a way past AEK Larnaka's compact .
  • 74' A quiet spell here at MCH Arena. FC Midtjylland seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 75' The FC Midtjylland bench stirs into life. Gustav Isaksen is withdrawn and Sory Kaba gets his opportunity.
  • 80' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 82' Ivan Trickovski makes way for Omri Altman at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from AEK Larnaka.
  • 83' The AEK Larnaka bench stirs into life. Ivan Trickovski is withdrawn and Omri Altman gets his opportunity.
  • 84' GOAL! Erik Sviatchenko fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 87' It’s a booking for FC Midtjylland player. Victor Lind gets a Yellow card.
  • 90' Kenan Piric was booked on 90.
  • The points are shared — FC Midtjylland 1-1 AEK Larnaka. Honours even.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 FC Midtjylland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 AEK Larnaka xG
I would bet for: FC Midtjylland or AEK Larnaka 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Midtjylland40% Draw29% AEK Larnaka31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

FC Midtjylland or Draw
69%
Draw or AEK Larnaka
60%
FC Midtjylland or AEK Larnaka
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Midtjylland27% Draw49% AEK Larnaka24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Midtjylland

Handicap FC Midtjylland covers Push AEK Larnaka covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Midtjylland keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
AEK Larnaka keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.