Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Midtjylland vs AEK Larnaka, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 2

Tue 19 Jul 2022 · 17:45 UTC MCH Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Midtjylland vs AEK Larnaka — Champions League at MCH Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Novak Simovic
  • Referee Nikola Djorovic (Serbia)
  • Referee Milos Simovic (Serbia)
  • Referee Jovan Segrt (Serbia)

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Midtjylland 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals AEK Larnaka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul AEK Larnaka H 1–1 D
25 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–2 W
04 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–0 W
21 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–1 D
30 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–3 L
16 Sep PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul FC Midtjylland A 1–1 D
15 Aug KAA Gent A 0–3 L
08 Aug KAA Gent H 1–1 D
01 Aug PFK Levski Sofia A 4–0 W
25 Jul PFK Levski Sofia H 3–0 W
18 Jul CS Petrocub Hincesti A 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Midtjylland and AEK Larnaka has kicked off!
  • 5' A quiet spell here at MCH Arena. AEK Larnaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Guinea international Sory Kaba has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Edward Chilufya has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 19' It’s a booking for FC Midtjylland player. Raphael Nwadike gets a Yellow card.
  • 24' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 29' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 34' FC Midtjylland are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from , as he is very good at scoring at MCH Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 44' Evander makes way for Charles Matos at the 44 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Midtjylland.
  • 49' The -year-old Raphael Nwadike has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Midtjylland must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 57' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Charles Matos.
  • 59' The whistle greets Edward Chilufya as he departs to be replaced by Victor Lind.
  • 64' AEK Larnaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 69' Ivan Trickovski has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Imad Faraj made 472 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 75' A change in the FC Midtjylland ranks — Gustav Isaksen exits the field as Sory Kaba enters on 75.
  • 80' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 80 minutes.
  • 82' Ivan Trickovski makes way for Omri Altman at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from AEK Larnaka.
  • 83' Another change for AEK Larnaka made on 83 minute. Ivan Trickovski leaves to be changed by Omri Altman.
  • 84' Erik Sviatchenko does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Midtjylland surge ahead!
  • 87' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Victor Lind.
  • 90' AEK Larnaka receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 FC Midtjylland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 AEK Larnaka xG
I would bet for: FC Midtjylland or AEK Larnaka 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Midtjylland40% Draw29% AEK Larnaka31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

FC Midtjylland or Draw
69%
Draw or AEK Larnaka
60%
FC Midtjylland or AEK Larnaka
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Midtjylland27% Draw49% AEK Larnaka24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Midtjylland

Handicap FC Midtjylland covers Push AEK Larnaka covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Midtjylland keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
AEK Larnaka keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.