Sunday , 16 August 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs US Salernitana 1919, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 14:00 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucas Beltran pen 6' 1–0
Riccardo Sottil 17' 2–0
Luca Ranieri 44' Y

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs US Salernitana 1919Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Paride Tremolada (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Daniele Bindoni
  • Assistant 2 Alberto Tegoni

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec US Salernitana 1919 H 3–0 W
25 Nov AC Milan A 0–1 L
12 Nov Bologna FC 1909 H 2–1 W
05 Nov Juventus FC H 0–1 L
30 Oct SS Lazio A 0–1 L
23 Oct Empoli FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec ACF Fiorentina A 0–3 L
25 Nov SS Lazio H 2–1 W
10 Nov US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–2 D
04 Nov SSC Napoli H 0–2 L
27 Oct Genoa CFC A 0–1 L
22 Oct Cagliari Calcio H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.77 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 US Salernitana 1919 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina54% Draw25% US Salernitana 191921%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
79%
Draw or US Salernitana 1919
46%
ACF Fiorentina or US Salernitana 1919
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina38% Draw45% US Salernitana 191917%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push US Salernitana 1919 covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
37%
US Salernitana 1919 keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.