Wednesday , 30 September 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona FC, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sun 17 Dec 2023 · 14:00 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucas Beltran 78' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona FC — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Maria Caputi (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Marco Bresmes
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Lo Cicero
5 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 4.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec AS Roma A 1–1 D
03 Dec US Salernitana 1919 H 3–0 W
25 Nov AC Milan A 0–1 L
12 Nov Bologna FC 1909 H 2–1 W
05 Nov Juventus FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Dec ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L
09 Dec SS Lazio H 1–1 D
03 Dec Udinese Calcio A 3–3 D
27 Nov US Lecce H 2–2 D
10 Nov Genoa CFC A 0–1 L
05 Nov AC Monza H 1–3 L

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.48 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Hellas Verona FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina55% Draw27% Hellas Verona FC18%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
81%
Draw or Hellas Verona FC
45%
ACF Fiorentina or Hellas Verona FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina35% Draw50% Hellas Verona FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push Hellas Verona FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 25% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Hellas Verona FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.