Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Tue 7 Nov 2023 · 20:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Milan Skriniar
Rafael Leao 12' 1–1
Olivier Giroud 50' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Paris Saint-Germain FCChampions League at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Paris Saint-Germain FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
29 Oct SSC Napoli A 2–2 D
25 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–3 L
22 Oct Juventus FC H 0–1 L
07 Oct Genoa CFC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Nov AC Milan A 1–2 L
03 Nov Montpellier HSC H 3–0 W
29 Oct Stade Brestois 29 A 3–2 W
25 Oct AC Milan H 3–0 W
21 Oct RC Strasbourg Alsace H 3–0 W
08 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Giuseppe Meazza that hosts another battle between AC Milan and Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 5' Fikayo Tomori has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 9' GOAL! Milan Skriniar scores on 9. Assisted by Marquinhos
  • 12' GOAL! Rafael Leao scores on 12.
  • 17' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 22' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 24' Paris Saint-Germain FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 29' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Randal Kolo Muani.
  • 34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 43' Manuel Ugarte is having his name booked by the referee on 43.
  • 48' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Goncalo Ramos suffering a number of foals already.
  • 50' Olivier Giroud puts AC Milan on the lead.
  • 55' Lucas Hernandez is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
  • 60' Time for substitution for Paris Saint-Germain FC. Randal Kolo Muani is replaced by Goncalo Ramos.
  • 65' Nordi Mukiele is replacing Lucas Hernandez for the Paris Saint-Germain FC side.
  • 66' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Yunus Musah gets a Yellow card.
  • 71' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 76' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Milan Skriniar on 80.
  • 84' Another change for AC Milan made on 84 minute. Yunus Musah leaves to be changed by Rade Krunic.
  • 89' It is a substitution in Paris Saint-Germain FC team. Milan Skriniar is replaced by Bradley Barcola on 89 minute.
  • 90' Alessandro Florenzi is replacing Christian Pulisic for the AC Milan side.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AC Milan players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Paris Saint-Germain FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan36% Draw28% Paris Saint-Germain FC36%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
64%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
64%
AC Milan or Paris Saint-Germain FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan24% Draw47% Paris Saint-Germain FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
25%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.