Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2019-20
Sat 11 Jan 2020 · 14:00 UTC Sardegna Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs AC MilanSerie A at Sardegna Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Luigi Nasca
  • Referee Sergio Ranghetti
  • Referee Domenico Rocca
  • Referee Rosario Abisso
  • Referee Federico Dionisi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan AC Milan H 0–2 L
06 Jan Juventus FC A 0–4 L
21 Dec Udinese Calcio A 1–2 L
16 Dec SS Lazio H 1–2 L
08 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–2 D
02 Dec UC Sampdoria H 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 2–0 W
06 Jan UC Sampdoria H 0–0 D
22 Dec Atalanta BC A 0–5 L
15 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–0 D
08 Dec Bologna FC 1909 A 3–2 W
01 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio AC Milan
#14 Position #5
43 Points 70
38 Played 38
11 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
40 Scored 53
53 Conceded 35
-13 GD +18
1.13 PPG 1.84
29% Win % 53%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Cagliari Calcio kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Cagliari Calcio are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' It’s high time Stefano Pioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 26' Cagliari Calcio receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 26.
  • 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 39' Nahitan Nandez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 39.
  • 44' With 0 assists to his name this season, Franck Kessie is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 46' Rafael Leao does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 60' That is a Yellow card for Cagliari Calcio. Luca Pellegrini will be fuming at that decision.
  • 61' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ismael Bennacer.
  • 64' Zlatan Ibrahimovic does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Giacomo Bonaventura. He replaces Hakan Calhanoglu on 64 minute.
  • 69' Fresh legs for Cagliari Calcio! Alberto Cerri comes on to replace Giovanni Simeone.
  • 73' Another change for AC Milan made on 73 minute. Davide Calabria leaves to be changed by Andrea Conti.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Cagliari Calcio. Marko Rog is replaced by Lucas Castro.
  • 81' It looks like no one’s ball. Cagliari Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 86' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rolando Maran will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 90' A tactical swap from AC MilanAnte Rebic on, Rafael Leao off on 90 minutes.
  • With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cagliari Calcio31% Draw27% AC Milan42%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw
58%
Draw or AC Milan
69%
Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cagliari Calcio23% Draw44% AC Milan33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap Cagliari Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
20%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.