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Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2019-20
Sat 11 Jan 2020 · 14:00 UTC Sardegna Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs AC MilanSerie A at Sardegna Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Luigi Nasca
  • Referee Sergio Ranghetti
  • Referee Domenico Rocca
  • Referee Rosario Abisso
  • Referee Federico Dionisi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan AC Milan H 0–2 L
06 Jan Juventus FC A 0–4 L
21 Dec Udinese Calcio A 1–2 L
16 Dec SS Lazio H 1–2 L
08 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–2 D
02 Dec UC Sampdoria H 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 2–0 W
06 Jan UC Sampdoria H 0–0 D
22 Dec Atalanta BC A 0–5 L
15 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–0 D
08 Dec Bologna FC 1909 A 3–2 W
01 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio AC Milan
#17 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cagliari Calcio are 17th (0 pts). AC Milan are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Cagliari Calcio and AC Milan is underway.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cagliari Calcio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Samu Castillejo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' Cagliari Calcio are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's shape.
  • 26' Luca Cigarini was booked on 26.
  • 31' Giovanni Simeone, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 39' A moment of madness from Nahitan Nandez on 39 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Cagliari Calcio will be frustrated.
  • 44' It looks surprising Cagliari Calcio does not make any changes. Luca Cigarini has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' What a moment for Rafael Leao! That strike on 46 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cagliari Calcio side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' A quiet spell here at Sardegna Arena. Cagliari Calcio seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 60' Luca Pellegrini is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
  • 61' Ismael Bennacer is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
  • 64' A stunning finish from Zlatan Ibrahimovic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 64' The crowd applauds Hakan Calhanoglu as he leaves the pitch. Giacomo Bonaventura steps in for AC Milan.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Alberto Cerri. He replaces Giovanni Simeone on 69 minute.
  • 73' The whistle greets Davide Calabria as he departs to be replaced by Andrea Conti.
  • 76' A change in the Cagliari Calcio ranks — Marko Rog exits the field as Lucas Castro enters on 76.
  • 81' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 86' It is a cagey affair so far. Cagliari Calcio in their trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact .
  • 90' Ante Rebic gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Rafael Leao and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.87 Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + AC Milan or Draw 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cagliari Calcio32% Draw35% AC Milan33%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.74
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw
66%
Draw or AC Milan
68%
Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cagliari Calcio21% Draw58% AC Milan21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.1%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
13.7%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.2%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
2.7%
0 – 3
1.8%
3 – 0
1.8%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap Cagliari Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 20% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 20% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
42%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.