Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2019-20
Sat 1 Aug 2020 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza HT 45+3' · FT 45+3'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Cagliari CalcioSerie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Referee Marco Serra
  • Referee Lorenzo Gori
  • Referee Pasquale Cangiano
7 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 12.3 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 3–0 W
29 Jul UC Sampdoria A 4–1 W
24 Jul Atalanta BC H 1–1 D
21 Jul US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–1 W
18 Jul Bologna FC 1909 H 5–1 W
15 Jul Parma Calcio 1913 H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Aug AC Milan A 0–3 L
29 Jul Juventus FC H 2–0 W
26 Jul Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
23 Jul SS Lazio A 1–2 L
18 Jul US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–1 D
15 Jul UC Sampdoria A 0–3 L

Season Stats

AC Milan Cagliari Calcio
#5 Position #14
70 Points 43
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 10 / 17
53 Scored 40
35 Conceded 53
+18 GD -13
1.84 PPG 1.13
53% Win % 29%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AC Milan and Cagliari Calcio get this one started.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ragnar Klavan makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 13' The referee shows Cagliari Calcio player a Yellow card on 13.
  • 18' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 23' AC Milan are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cagliari Calcio's shape.
  • 28' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and Cagliari Calcio are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 38' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Giacomo Bonaventura comes on to replace Rafael Leao.
  • 43' Cagliari Calcio are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 45' Paolo Farago picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' Samu Castillejo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 55' What a moment for Zlatan Ibrahimovic! That strike on 55 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 57' GOAL! Samu Castillejo fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 58' Alessio Cragno picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 59' Alessio Cragno has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 59.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Cagliari CalcioAlberto Paloschi on, Gaston Pereiro off on 62 minutes.
  • 65' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Hakan Calhanoglu is replaced by Alexis Saelemaekers on 65 minute.
  • 66' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Ismael Bennacer exits the field as Marco Brescianini enters on 66.
  • 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alexis Saelemaekers on 67.
  • 72' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their trying to find a way past Cagliari Calcio's compact .
  • 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Paolo Farago suffering a number of foals already.
  • 79' Simon Kjaer makes way for Leo Duarte at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 84' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and Cagliari Calcio are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 89' Giovanni Simeone, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 90' The Cagliari Calcio bench stirs into life. Giovanni Simeone is withdrawn and Leonardo Pavoletti gets his opportunity.
  • Another three points for AC Milan.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.17 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan69% Draw20% Cagliari Calcio11%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
89%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
31%
AC Milan or Cagliari Calcio
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan50% Draw41% Cagliari Calcio9%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
11.9%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 0
5.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.3%
2 – 2
3.1%
1 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 21% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 24% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
50%
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.