Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 21 Dec 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 28.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–0 D
14 Dec FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
05 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–1 L
30 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–4 L
21 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
09 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–0 D
13 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
06 Dec 1. FC Köln A 1–1 D
02 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W
29 Nov FC Bayern München A 1–3 L
23 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 76% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0544% Draw32% FC St. Pauli 191024%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
76%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
56%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC St. Pauli 1910
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0529% Draw55% FC St. Pauli 191016%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.7%
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 2
1.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 25% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.