FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 ROUND 1

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DFB-Pokal · 2022-23

FC Erzgebirge Aue

0 – 3

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 31 Jul 2022 · 16:01 UTC Erzgebirgsstadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — DFB-Pokal at Erzgebirgsstadion.

FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Head-to-Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue 9 games · Avg 3.2 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2022-07-31 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-08-18 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-01-27 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-09-10 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2016-02-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jul	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–3	L
09 Aug	FC Ingolstadt 04	A	1–2	L
12 Sep	SSV Ulm 1846	A	0–2	L
30 Oct	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	A	1–2	L
10 Aug	FSV Wacker 90 Nordhausen	A	4–1	W
18 Aug	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–3	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jul	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	3–0	W
14 May	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	2–2	D
07 May	Hertha BSC	A	2–1	W
30 Apr	FC Bayern München	H	3–1	W
22 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	A	0–5	L
16 Apr	VfB Stuttgart	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Erzgebirgsstadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
41' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Dominik Kohr on 41.
71' What a strike from Delano Burgzorg! The score is 0-2.
79' Goal! Marcus Ingvartsen scores his 43 goal in 316 matches.
With this win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Alexandru Maxim	2
Alexandru Maxim	2
Pascal Testroet	1
Robin Quaison	1
Pascal Testroet	1
Robin Quaison	1
Dominik Kohr	1
Delano Burgzorg	1

Head to Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2022-07-31 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2021-08-09 FC Ingolstadt 04 2–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2020-09-12 SSV Ulm 1846 2–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2019-10-30 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 2–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2019-08-10 FSV Wacker 90 Nordhausen 1–4 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2018-08-18 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2022-07-31 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2022-05-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt D 2022-05-07 Hertha BSC 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2022-04-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Bayern München W 2022-04-22 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2022-04-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 VfB Stuttgart D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.06 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.8 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue23% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0552%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.86

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw

48%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

77%

FC Erzgebirge Aue or 1. FSV Mainz 05

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Erzgebirge Aue18% Draw44% 1. FSV Mainz 0538%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.8%

0 – 1

9.5%

1 – 2

9.5%

0 – 2

9.1%

0 – 0

7.5%

1 – 3

5.7%

2 – 1

5.6%

0 – 3

Actual

1 – 0

5.2%

2 – 2

2 – 0

3.2%

2 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	13%	79%
-0.5	21%	—	79%
+0.5	47%	—	53%
+1	47%	23%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	17%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.