Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 14:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei HT 45' · FT 45'
Yorbe Vertessen 50' 1–0
Brenden Aaronson 52' 2–0
2–1 63' Mitchell Weiser

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Schlager
  • Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
  • Assistant 2 Arno Blos
20 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 0–2 L
02 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
24 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
17 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–0 W
10 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
09 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
03 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–2 L
24 Feb SV Darmstadt 98 H 1–1 D
16 Feb 1. FC Koln A 1–0 W
10 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–2 L

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin SV Werder Bremen
#11 Position #15
39 Points 32
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 18
44 Scored 37
58 Conceded 60
-14 GD -23
1.15 PPG 0.94
29% Win % 24%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
18% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin51% Draw26% SV Werder Bremen23%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
77%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
49%
1. FC Union Berlin or SV Werder Bremen
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin33% Draw46% SV Werder Bremen21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
33%
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.