Yokohama F.Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Yokohama F.Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Nissan Stadium.
- Yokohama F.Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 4–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | FC Tokyo | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Yokohama F.Marinos | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #2 |
| 20 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 0 / 12 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 31 | Scored | 48 |
| 35 | Conceded | 38 |
| -4 | GD | +10 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 33% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Yokohama F.Marinos are 18th (20 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Yokohama F·Marinos to score. At the same time, Cerezo Osaka FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Yokohama F·Marinos and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Yokohama F·Marinos that had 302 games and scored 556 goals.
- 15' Yokohama F·Marinos are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' Asahi Uenaka has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 25 minutes.
- 30' Ryotaro Tsunoda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 10 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Yokohama F·Marinos and Cerezo Osaka FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arthur Papas might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 45' Poor challenge from Ryoya Kimura. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 48' Against the run of play, Rafael Ratao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Yokohama F·Marinos must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 58' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 61' Assisted by Kota Watanabe with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jordy Croux makes no mistake. 0-3!
- 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Niko Takahashi on 65.
- 67' The crowd applauds Hinata Kida as he leaves the pitch. Vitor Bueno steps in for Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 68' The referee has no hesitation. Thomas Deng is booked for Yokohama F.Marinos — card on 68.
- 71' A change in the Yokohama F.Marinos ranks — Kenta Inoue exits the field as Yuri Araujo enters on 71.
- 76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arthur Papas will be considering his options from the bench.
- 78' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Masaya Shibayama is withdrawn and Shion Homma gets his opportunity.
- 83' Yokohama F·Marinos are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
- 84' Yokohama F.Marinos manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. George Onaiwu is hanging Asahi Uenaka on the field on 84 minute.
- 89' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Kodjo Aziangbe.
- 90' Yokohama F.Marinos make a change. Kaina Tanimura trudges off to be replaced by Din David on 90 minutes.
- With this win, Yokohama F·Marinos is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Yokohama F.Marinos Lineups
Starting XI
- 37
- 44
- 8
- 6
- 17
- 14
- 22
- 16
- 48
- 31
- 35
Bench
- 20
- 19
- 26
- 28
- 45
- 33
- 41
- 30
- 18
Coach
Hideo Oshima
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 44
- 9
- 13
- 10
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Vitor Bueno 67'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Ayumu Ohata 67'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Dion Cools 67'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↓ Shion Homma 78'
- 22
- 1
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 67'
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 78'
- 35
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 67'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 67'
- 31
- 21
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 78'
- 29
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Ceara | 4 |
| Kato Mutsuki | 4 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 4 |
| Leo Ceara | 3 |
| Hiroshi Kiyotake | 3 |
| Anderson Lopes | 3 |
| Yuta Toyokawa | 2 |
| Kota Mizunuma | 2 |
Head to Head
Yokohama F.Marinos Form
2025-11-30
Yokohama F.Marinos
3–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2025-11-09
Kyoto Sanga FC
0–3
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
2025-10-25
Yokohama F.Marinos
3–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-10-18
Yokohama F.Marinos
4–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2025-10-04
Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
Yokohama F.Marinos
L
2025-09-28
FC Tokyo
2–3
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.22
Yokohama F.Marinos xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Yokohama F.Marinos win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
Yokohama F.Marinos or Draw
74%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
48%
Yokohama F.Marinos or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
5%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Yokohama F.Marinos
| Handicap | Yokohama F.Marinos covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 15% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 19% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Yokohama F.Marinos keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

