Yokohama F.Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Yokohama F.Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Nissan Stadium.
- Yokohama F.Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 4–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | FC Tokyo | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Yokohama F.Marinos | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #2 |
| 20 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 0 / 12 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 31 | Scored | 48 |
| 35 | Conceded | 38 |
| -4 | GD | +10 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 33% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
46%
Clean Sheets
Yokohama F.Marinos this season
Yokohama F.Marinos this season
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Yokohama F.Marinos are 18th (20 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Yokohama F.Marinos
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/–
61-75
1/5
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Yokohama F.Marinos
| Kaina Tanimura | 7 G | 1 A |
| Shin Miidera | 2 G | |
| Taisei Inoue | 1 G | 1 A |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Nissan Stadium. Yokohama F.Marinos are looking to make home advantage count against Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 5' The 30-year-old Rafael Ratao has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Yokohama F.Marinos are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
- 20' Japan international Ren Kato has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' Brilliant from the ! Asahi Uenaka makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 25.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Hideo Oshima will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' Shion Homma has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Yokohama F.Marinos that had 313 games and scored 569 goals.
- 45' Poor challenge from Ryoya Kimura. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 48' Rafael Ratao adds to his 0 season tally! Cerezo Osaka FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 53' Ayumu Ohata, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
- 61' Magnificent from Jordy Croux! That is 15 goals in 175 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 65' Niko Takahashi was booked on 65.
- 67' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 67 minute. Hinata Kida leaves to be changed by Vitor Bueno.
- 68' A moment of madness from Thomas Deng on 68 minutes earns him a card. Yokohama F.Marinos will be frustrated.
- 71' A change in the Yokohama F.Marinos ranks — Kenta Inoue exits the field as Yuri Araujo enters on 71.
- 76' A quiet spell here at Nissan Stadium. Cerezo Osaka FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 78' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Masaya Shibayama is replaced by Shion Homma on 78 minute.
- 83' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Yokohama F.Marinos side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 84' A tactical swap from Yokohama F.Marinos — George Onaiwu on, Asahi Uenaka off on 84 minutes.
- 89' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kodjo Aziangbe on 90.
- 90' Time for substitution for Yokohama F.Marinos. Kaina Tanimura is replaced by Din David.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Yokohama F.Marinos Lineups
Starting XI
- 37
- 44
- 8
- 6
- 17
- 14
- 22
- 16
- 48
- 31
- 35
Bench
- 20
- 19
- 26
- 28
- 45
- 33
- 41
- 30
- 18
Coach
Hideo Oshima
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 44
- 9
- 13
- 10
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Vitor Bueno 67'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Ayumu Ohata 67'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Dion Cools 67'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↓ Shion Homma 78'
- 22
- 1
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 67'
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 78'
- 35
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 67'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 67'
- 31
- 21
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 78'
- 29
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kato Mutsuki | 4 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 4 |
| Leo Ceara | 4 |
| Hiroshi Kiyotake | 3 |
| Anderson Lopes | 3 |
| Leo Ceara | 3 |
| Rafael Ratao | 2 |
| Jun Amano | 2 |
Head to Head
Yokohama F.Marinos Form
2025-11-30
Yokohama F.Marinos
3–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2025-11-09
Kyoto Sanga FC
0–3
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
2025-10-25
Yokohama F.Marinos
3–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-10-18
Yokohama F.Marinos
4–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2025-10-04
Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
Yokohama F.Marinos
L
2025-09-28
FC Tokyo
2–3
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.22
Yokohama F.Marinos xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Yokohama F.Marinos win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
Yokohama F.Marinos or Draw
74%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
48%
Yokohama F.Marinos or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
5%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Yokohama F.Marinos
| Handicap | Yokohama F.Marinos covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 15% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 19% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Yokohama F.Marinos keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.