Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs Willem II Tilburg, Eredivisie 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2020-21
Sat 10 Apr 2021 · 16:45 UTC Erve Asito HT 45+2' · FT 45+3'
Y 80' Leeroy Owusu

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs Willem II TilburgEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Mario Diks
  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal
  • Referee Jesse Rozendal
  • Referee Martijn Beijer (Netherlands)
4 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 5.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Willem II Tilburg H 4–0 W
04 Apr PSV A 0–3 L
21 Mar Sparta Rotterdam H 1–1 D
13 Mar ADO Den Haag A 2–1 W
07 Mar PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W
27 Feb FC Twente '65 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Heracles Almelo A 0–4 L
03 Apr AZ H 0–1 L
21 Mar SBV Vitesse A 0–0 D
13 Mar SC Heerenveen H 3–1 W
06 Mar FC Twente '65 A 1–1 D
28 Feb Sparta Rotterdam A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.74 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Willem II Tilburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo50% Draw26% Willem II Tilburg24%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
76%
Draw or Willem II Tilburg
50%
Heracles Almelo or Willem II Tilburg
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo36% Draw45% Willem II Tilburg19%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push Willem II Tilburg covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
33%
Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.