Saturday , 14 November 2026

Wigan Athletic FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 26 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC DW Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Curtis Nelson

Overview

Match Preview

Wigan Athletic FC vs Derby County FC — League One at DW Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Parsons (England)
  • Assistant 1 Joe Simpson
7 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Derby County FC H 0–1 L
23 Dec Reading FC A 0–2 L
16 Dec Port Vale FC A 2–3 L
09 Dec Lincoln City FC H 0–0 D
01 Dec York City FC A 1–0 W
28 Nov Fleetwood Town FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
16 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 3–0 W
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Wigan Athletic FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wigan Athletic FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wigan Athletic FC
Jensen Weir 2 G
Sonny Perkins 1 G
Akeel Higgins 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Wigan Athletic FC get us underway at DW Stadium.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Wigan Athletic FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 19' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Curtis Nelson makes it 0-1.
  • 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 29' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wigan Athletic FC that had 392 games and scored 413 goals.
  • 34' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 39' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Wigan Athletic FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 44' Wigan Athletic FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 49' Wigan Athletic FC have won 413 goals from 392 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 54' Harry McHugh has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 16 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 59' Wigan Athletic FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 64' With 0 assists to his name this season, Craig Forsyth is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Wigan Athletic FC.
  • 69' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 74' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 79' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 84' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 89' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Wigan Athletic FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Wigan Athletic FC and Derby County FC (для сухой ничьи).

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Wigan Athletic FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wigan Athletic FC29% Draw32% Derby County FC39%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Wigan Athletic FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Derby County FC
71%
Wigan Athletic FC or Derby County FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wigan Athletic FC20% Draw54% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
2.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Wigan Athletic FC

Handicap Wigan Athletic FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 22% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Wigan Athletic FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.