Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 03:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western United FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Kersey
  • Referee Kris Griffiths-Jones (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–1 D
28 Apr Melbourne City FC A 0–1 L
21 Apr Perth Glory FC A 4–3 W
16 Apr Adelaide United FC H 3–3 D
13 Apr Central Coast Mariners FC H 0–2 L
06 Apr Macarthur FC H 4–2 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Wellington Regional Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Wellington Phoenix FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Tim Payne, a New Zealand , has 14 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' The travelling Western United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Western United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Wellington Phoenix FC and Western United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 40' Nathan Walker is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Wellington Phoenix FC so far.
  • 45' That is a card for Western United FC. Sebastian Pasquali will be fuming at that decision.
  • 47' What composure from Kosta Barbarouses! The New Zealand international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 57' Australia international Noah Botic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 62' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 67' Noah Botic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiroshi Ibusuki on 67 minute.
  • 71' A change in the Western United FC ranks — Sebastian Pasquali exits the field as Rhys Bozinovski enters on 71.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC. Hideki Ishige is replaced by David Ball.
  • 76' What an equalizer from Angus Thurgate!
  • 81' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 83' Matt Sheridan makes way for Jake Najdovski at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Western United FC.
  • 88' Matthew Sutton is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Western United FC tonight.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Angus Thurgate on 90 minutes.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.49 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Western United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC47% Draw27% Western United FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Western United FC
53%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Western United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC32% Draw48% Western United FC20%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Western United FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Western United FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.