Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 05:00 UTC Apollo Projects Stadium 11,066 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ifeanyi Eze 16' 1–0
1–1 41' Brandon Borrello
Kazuki Nagasawa 56' 2–1
Alex Rufer 38' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC — A League at Apollo Projects Stadium.

Match Details

  • VIDEO_ASSISTANT_REFEREE_N1 Kate Jacewicz
  • Referee Ben Abraham
  • Referee Casey Reibelt
  • Assistant 1 Owen Goldrick
  • Assistant 2 Luke Gennimatas (Australia)
  • 4th Official Brodie Merchant (Australia)

Recent Form

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Western Sydney Wanderers FC
#8 Position #12
33 Points 21
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 15
36 Scored 27
48 Conceded 43
-12 GD -16
1.27 PPG 0.81
35% Win % 19%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
68% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Western Sydney Wanderers FC are 12th (21 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.96 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Western Sydney Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC56% Draw23% Western Sydney Wanderers FC21%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Western Sydney Wanderers FC
44%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Western Sydney Wanderers FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC39% Draw42% Western Sydney Wanderers FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Western Sydney Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Western Sydney Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.