Melbourne City FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne City FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne City FC 26 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Kearney Robinson
- Referee Ben Abraham
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Jan | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Jan | Western United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Dec | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 8–1 | W |
| 23 Dec | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 08 Jan | Macarthur FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Jan | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Dec | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Dec | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Melbourne City FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 38 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 10 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 33 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +0 | GD | +10 |
| 1.46 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 38% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Adelaide United FC get us underway at AAMI Park.
- 5' What composure from Terry Antonis! The Australia international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 10' It looks surprising Adelaide United FC does not make any changes. Ryan Kitto has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' Benjamin Mazzeo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' Ryan Tunnicliffe is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
- 40' Adelaide United FC have won 368 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 46' Luke Duzel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryan Tunnicliffe at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Jamie Young has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 5 cards already picked up this season.
- 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 59' A change in the Melbourne City FC ranks — Leo Natel exits the field as Andrew Nabbout enters on 59.
- 64' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Melbourne City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 66' The Adelaide United FC bench stirs into life. Zach Clough is withdrawn and Luka Jovanovic gets his opportunity.
- 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Terry Antonis.
- 74' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 76' Adelaide United FC make a change. Hiroshi Ibusuki trudges off to be replaced by Austin Ayoubi on 76 minutes.
- 77' Alessandro Lopane has so much to prove this time. He replaces Benjamin Mazzeo on 77 minute.
- 79' Isaias Sanchez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
- 84' Luka Jovanovic is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
- 89' A change in the Melbourne City FC ranks — Tolgay Arslan exits the field as Zane Schreiber enters on 89.
- Melbourne City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Melbourne City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 17
- 6
- 2
- 9
-
11
Leo Natel ↓ Andrew Nabbout 59'
- 22
- 25
-
10
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Zane Schreiber 89'
- 18
- 46
Bench
-
15
Andrew Nabbout ↑ 59'
-
21
Alessandro Lopane ↑ 77'
- 33
- 45
- 53
- 37
-
35
Zane Schreiber ↑ 89'
Coach
Mike van Houten
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Ryan Tunnicliffe ↓ Luke Duzel 46'
-
10
Zach Clough ↓ Luka Jovanovic 66'
- 7
- 26
- 1
-
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↓ Austin Ayoubi 76'
- 66
- 8
- 43
-
37
Johnny Yull ↓ Ethan Alagich 46'
- 3
Bench
- 21
- 27
-
23
Luke Duzel ↑ 46'
- 40
-
55
Ethan Alagich ↑ 46'
-
17
Luka Jovanovic ↑ 66'
-
42
Austin Ayoubi ↑ 76'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamie MacLaren | 11 |
| Ben Halloran | 6 |
| Craig Goodwin | 3 |
| Ross McCormack | 3 |
| Dario Vidosic | 2 |
| Marcin Budzinski | 2 |
| Louis D'Arrigo | 2 |
| Nestor Irankunda | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne City FC Form
2024-01-25
Melbourne City FC
1–0
Adelaide United FC
W
2024-01-21
Central Coast Mariners FC
2–1
Melbourne City FC
L
2024-01-12
Melbourne City FC
0–1
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
L
2024-01-07
Western United FC
1–2
Melbourne City FC
W
2023-12-28
Melbourne City FC
8–1
Brisbane Roar FC
W
2023-12-23
Melbourne City FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
Adelaide United FC Form
2024-01-25
Melbourne City FC
1–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2024-01-13
Adelaide United FC
4–3
Sydney FC
W
2024-01-08
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Macarthur FC
D
2024-01-04
Adelaide United FC
2–2
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2023-12-30
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2023-12-22
Adelaide United FC
3–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.52
Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne City FC or Adelaide United FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Melbourne City FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
59%
Melbourne City FC or Adelaide United FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Melbourne City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC
| Handicap | Melbourne City FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

