Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Thu 25 Jan 2024 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Ben Abraham

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Melbourne City FC A 0–1 L
13 Jan Sydney FC H 4–3 W
08 Jan Macarthur FC H 1–1 D
04 Jan Wellington Phoenix FC H 2–2 D
30 Dec Melbourne Victory FC A 0–2 L
22 Dec Newcastle United Jets FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC Adelaide United FC
#6 Position #2
38 Points 43
26 Played 26
10 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
33 Scored 46
33 Conceded 36
+0 GD +10
1.46 PPG 1.65
38% Win % 46%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Adelaide United FC get us underway at AAMI Park.
  • 5' What composure from Terry Antonis! The Australia international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 10' It looks surprising Adelaide United FC does not make any changes. Ryan Kitto has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Benjamin Mazzeo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' Ryan Tunnicliffe is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
  • 40' Adelaide United FC have won 368 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' Luke Duzel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryan Tunnicliffe at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Jamie Young has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 5 cards already picked up this season.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 59' A change in the Melbourne City FC ranks — Leo Natel exits the field as Andrew Nabbout enters on 59.
  • 64' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Melbourne City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 66' The Adelaide United FC bench stirs into life. Zach Clough is withdrawn and Luka Jovanovic gets his opportunity.
  • 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Terry Antonis.
  • 74' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 76' Adelaide United FC make a change. Hiroshi Ibusuki trudges off to be replaced by Austin Ayoubi on 76 minutes.
  • 77' Alessandro Lopane has so much to prove this time. He replaces Benjamin Mazzeo on 77 minute.
  • 79' Isaias Sanchez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
  • 84' Luka Jovanovic is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
  • 89' A change in the Melbourne City FC ranks — Tolgay Arslan exits the field as Zane Schreiber enters on 89.
  • Melbourne City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.52 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne City FC or Adelaide United FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC41% Draw26% Adelaide United FC33%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
59%
Melbourne City FC or Adelaide United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne City FC29% Draw45% Adelaide United FC26%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✗
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.