Wales vs Spain, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Wales Lineups
Spain Lineups
H2H
Wales Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45
Wales xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7
Spain xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wales win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Wales or Draw
82%
Draw or Spain
46%
Wales or Spain
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Wales win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.9%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2%
Asian Handicap — Wales
| Handicap | Wales covers | Push | Spain covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 26% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Wales keeps clean sheet
50%
✓
Spain keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.