Portugal vs Spain, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Portugal Lineups
Spain Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 3 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 3 |
| Diego Costa | 2 |
| Diego Costa | 2 |
| Nacho | 1 |
| Nacho | 1 |
Head to Head
Portugal Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54
Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Spain xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portugal win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
80%
Draw or Spain
47%
Portugal or Spain
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
11.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Portugal
| Handicap | Portugal covers | Push | Spain covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 25% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Spain keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.