Wales vs Spain, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Wales Lineups
Spain Lineups
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H2H
Wales Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.45 Wales xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.7 Spain xGI would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wales winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.15Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 86% 14% ± 1.5 63% 37% ± 2.5 36% 64% ± 3.5 18% 82% ± 4.5 7% 93% Double Chance
Wales or Draw 82%Draw or Spain 46%Wales or Spain 72%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Wales win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 0 15.9%0 – 0 13.9%1 – 1 12.6%2 – 0 Actual2 – 1 8.3%0 – 1 7%3 – 0 5.6%3 – 1 4.1%1 – 2 4%2 – 2 3%0 – 2 2.7%4 – 0 2%Asian Handicap — Wales
Handicap Wales covers Push Spain covers -2.5 11% — 89% -2 11% 17% 72% -1.5 28% — 72% -1 28% 26% 47% -0.5 53% — 47% +0.5 83% — 17% +1 83% 12% 5% +1.5 95% — 5% +2 95% 4% 1% +2.5 99% — 1% Clean Sheet
Wales keeps clean sheet 50% ✓Spain keeps clean sheet 24% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.