VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Koln, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2022-23

VfL Wolfsburg

2 – 4

Full Time

1. FC Koln

Sat 3 Sep 2022 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Mickey van de Ven 38' Y

Y 63' Ondrej Duda

Omar Marmoush 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Köln — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FC Köln 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Christian Gittelmann
Referee Robert Hartmann
Referee Jonas Weickenmeier
Referee Robert Wessel
Referee Sven Jablonski
Referee Matthias Jollenbeck

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern Munchen	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FC Koln

Last 5 meetings

2022-09-03 VfL Wolfsburg 2–4 1. FC Koln 2022-05-07 1. FC Koln 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2021-12-14 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 1. FC Koln 2021-04-03 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 1. FC Koln 2020-12-05 1. FC Koln 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Sep	1. FC Koln	H	2–4	L
27 Aug	RB Leipzig	A	0–2	L
20 Aug	FC Schalke 04	H	0–0	D
14 Aug	FC Bayern Munchen	A	0–2	L
06 Aug	SV Werder Bremen	H	2–2	D
30 Jul	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	A	1–0	W

1. FC Koln

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Sep	VfL Wolfsburg	A	4–2	W
28 Aug	VfB Stuttgart	H	0–0	D
21 Aug	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	1–1	D
13 Aug	RB Leipzig	A	2–2	D
07 Aug	FC Schalke 04	H	3–1	W
30 Jul	SSV Jahn Regensburg	A	5–6	L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
1. FC Koln this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Koln

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/3

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/3

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Koln

Said El Mala	3 G
Thijs Dallinga	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. VfL Wolfsburg kicks off things out of here…
2' The deadlock is broken! Lukas Nmecha gets on the scoresheet on 2 minutes.
7' 1. FC Köln come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
12' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steffen Baumgart will be considering his options from the bench.
17' 1. FC Köln are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
22' The deadlock is broken! Dejan Ljubicic gets on the scoresheet on 22 minutes.
27' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Köln are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
31' What a strike from Paulo Otavio! The score is 1-2.
32' Against the run of play, Paulo Otavio has scored! This game has turned on its head.
37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfL Wolfsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
38' Mickey van de Ven is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
43' Luca Kilian has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 326 appearances.
46' A tactical swap from VfL Wolfsburg — Omar Marmoush on, Sebastiaan Bornauw off on 46 minutes.
47' What a strike from Florian Kainz! The score is 1-4.
52' The 27-year-old Sebastiaan Bornauw has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
57' A quiet spell here at Volkswagen Arena. VfL Wolfsburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
61' VfL Wolfsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Paredes is hanging Gian-Luca Waldschmidt on the field on 61 minute.
63' Ondrej Duda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 63.
65' The whistle greets Ondrej Duda as he departs to be replaced by Linton Maina.
70' Jan Thielmann has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
74' The crowd applauds Bartol Franjic as he leaves the pitch. Mattias Svanberg steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
75' Felix Kalu Nmecha gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Maximilian Arnold and will look to change the dynamic.
77' VfL Wolfsburg ring the changes. Paulo Otavio has done his job and it is now time for Jakub Kaminski to step up.
79' A goal from the Germany international Lukas Nmecha! He fires home on 79 to make it 2-4!
81' Goal! Sargis Adamyan scores his 22 goal in 189 matches.
81' The 1. FC Koln bench stirs into life. Steffen Tigges is withdrawn and Tim Lemperle gets his opportunity.
83' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a Yellow card on 83.
88' It is a substitution in 1. FC Koln team. Dejan Ljubicic is replaced by Eric Martel on 88 minute.
The final score is 2-4.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Starting XI

9
Max Kruse
10
Lukas Nmecha
1
Koen Casteels
27
Maximilian Arnold ↓ Felix Kalu Nmecha 75'
29
Josuha Guilavogui
20
Ridle Baku
7
Gian-Luca Waldschmidt ↓ Kevin Paredes 61'
6
Paulo Otavio ↓ Jakub Kaminski 75'
3
Sebastiaan Bornauw ↓ Omar Marmoush 46'
38
Bartol Franjic ↓ Mattias Svanberg 74'
5
Mickey van de Ven

Bench

Coach Niko Kovać

1. FC Köln Lineups

Starting XI

11
Florian Kainz ↓ Denis Huseinbasic 88'
17
Kingsley Schindler
28
Ellyes Skhiri
4
Timo Hubers
18
Ondrej Duda ↓ Linton Maina 65'
14
Jonas Hector
15
Luca Kilian
7
Dejan Ljubicic ↓ Eric Martel 88'
20
Marvin Schwabe
21
Steffen Tigges ↓ Tim Lemperle 81'
29
Jan Thielmann ↓ Sargis Adamyan 65'

Bench

3
Kristian Pedersen
37
Linton Maina ↑ 65'
1
Timo Horn
23
Sargis Adamyan ↑ 65'
25
Tim Lemperle ↑ 81'
6
Eric Martel ↑ 88'
48
Georg Strauch
8
Denis Huseinbasic ↑ 88'

Coach Steffen Baumgart

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lukas Nmecha	4
Yannick Gerhardt	4
Wout Weghorst	3
Maximilian Arnold	3
Jonas Wind	2
Anthony Modeste	2
Paulo Otavio	2
Jhon Cordoba	2

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2022-09-03 VfL Wolfsburg 2–4 1. FC Koln L 2022-08-27 RB Leipzig 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2022-08-20 VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 FC Schalke 04 D 2022-08-14 FC Bayern Munchen 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2022-08-06 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 SV Werder Bremen D 2022-07-30 FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg W

1. FC Köln Form

2022-09-03 VfL Wolfsburg 2–4 1. FC Koln W 2022-08-28 1. FC Koln 0–0 VfB Stuttgart D 2022-08-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 1. FC Koln D 2022-08-13 RB Leipzig 2–2 1. FC Koln D 2022-08-07 1. FC Koln 3–1 FC Schalke 04 L 2022-07-30 SSV Jahn Regensburg 6–5 1. FC Koln L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.57 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.71 1. FC Köln xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FC Köln 73% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg34% Draw27% 1. FC Köln39%

Actual: 1. FC Köln win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.28

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

61%

Draw or 1. FC Köln

66%

VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FC Köln

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg27% Draw42% 1. FC Köln31%

Actual: 1. FC Köln win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted

2 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

11%

1 – 2

8.3%

2 – 1

7.6%

2 – 2

6.5%

0 – 1

5.7%

0 – 2

5.5%

0 – 0

5.3%

1 – 0

5.2%

1 – 3

4.7%

2 – 0

4.6%

3 – 1

2 – 3

3.8%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	1. FC Köln covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	17%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	19%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	12%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

1. FC Köln keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.