VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2016

Refresh

DFB-Pokal 2016/17 · 2016

VfL Wolfsburg

3 – 0

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Wed 1 Mar 2017 · 20:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — DFB-Pokal .

VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2017-03-01 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-02-04 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-09-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2016-04-16 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2015-11-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	3–0	W
25 Feb	TuS Dassendorf	H	8–0	W
18 Feb	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	1–1	D
15 Feb	Helsingin JK	H	5–1	W
11 Feb	1. FC Koln	A	2–0	W
07 Feb	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	1–0	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	A	0–3	L
26 Feb	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	H	1–1	D
19 Feb	Karlsruher SC	A	1–1	D
11 Feb	SV Sandhausen 1916	H	2–0	W
08 Feb	SSV Jahn Regensburg	A	4–1	W
04 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. VfL Wolfsburg host 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the battle begin!
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from VfL Wolfsburg to claim maximum points.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonas Wind	7
Max Kruse	3
Maximilian Arnold	3
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Renato Steffen	2
Paul Nebel	2
Maximilian Philipp	2
Sebastiaan Bornauw	2

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2017-03-01 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2017-02-25 VfL Wolfsburg 8–0 TuS Dassendorf W 2017-02-18 SV Sandhausen 1916 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg D 2017-02-15 VfL Wolfsburg 5–1 Helsingin JK W 2017-02-11 1. FC Koln 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2017-02-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 1. CfR Pforzheim W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2017-03-01 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2017-02-26 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen D 2017-02-19 Karlsruher SC 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2017-02-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 SV Sandhausen 1916 W 2017-02-08 SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2017-02-04 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.13 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.84 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg65% Draw21% 1. FSV Mainz 0514%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.97

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

86%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

35%

VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg47% Draw41% 1. FSV Mainz 0512%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

11.5%

1 – 0

10.4%

1 – 1

9.9%

2 – 1

9.4%

3 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

6.7%

3 – 1

6.7%

4 – 0

4.2%

2 – 2

1 – 2

3.7%

4 – 1

3.7%

0 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	20%	58%
-1.5	42%	—	58%
-1	42%	23%	34%
-0.5	66%	—	34%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	9%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

44% ✗

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.