SSV Jahn Regensburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2016

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DFB-Pokal 2016/17 · 2016

SSV Jahn Regensburg

1 – 4

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Wed 8 Feb 2017 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — DFB-Pokal .

SSV Jahn Regensburg 0 games · 0 pts
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts

Head-to-Head

SSV Jahn Regensburg 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2017-02-08 SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

SSV Jahn Regensburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–4	L
04 Feb	North Shields FC	H	2–0	W
27 Jan	Arminia Bielefeld	A	3–0	W
18 Dec	1. FC Nürnberg	A	0–0	D
11 Dec	FC Groningen	H	0–0	D
03 Dec	FC Augsburg	A	3–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Feb	SSV Jahn Regensburg	A	4–1	W
04 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–1	D
27 Jan	FC Hansa Rostock	H	0–1	L
21 Jan	1. FC Köln	H	1–0	W
20 Dec	TuS Dassendorf	A	1–2	L
17 Dec	Hamburger SV	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. 1. FSV Mainz 05 kicks off things out of here…
With this win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

SSV Jahn Regensburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.23 SSV Jahn Regensburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.95 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SSV Jahn Regensburg28% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0547%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.18

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

SSV Jahn Regensburg or Draw

53%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

72%

SSV Jahn Regensburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SSV Jahn Regensburg19% Draw42% 1. FSV Mainz 0539%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

10.8%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

7.9%

0 – 1

7.5%

1 – 3

6.1%

2 – 1

5.9%

0 – 0

5.8%

2 – 2

5.7%

0 – 3

1 – 0

4.4%

2 – 3

3.8%

2 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — SSV Jahn Regensburg

Handicap	SSV Jahn Regensburg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	13%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	47%	—	53%
+1	47%	22%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	16%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

SSV Jahn Regensburg keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.