VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. CfR Pforzheim, 2016

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DFB-Pokal 2016/17 · 2016

VfL Wolfsburg

1 – 0

Full Time

1. CfR Pforzheim

Tue 7 Feb 2017 · 20:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. CfR Pforzheim — DFB-Pokal .

VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts
1. CfR Pforzheim 0 games · 0 pts

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 9 games · Avg 3.9 goals 1. CfR Pforzheim

Last 5 meetings

2017-02-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 1. CfR Pforzheim 2016-12-10 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 1. CfR Pforzheim 2016-02-27 1. CfR Pforzheim 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2015-09-22 VfL Wolfsburg 5–1 1. CfR Pforzheim 2015-01-30 1. CfR Pforzheim 4–1 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Feb	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	1–0	W
04 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–1	D
28 Jan	Wroxham FC	A	2–1	W
20 Jan	Hamburger SV	A	2–1	W
21 Dec	TuS Erndtebruck	H	3–0	W
18 Dec	RB Leipzig	A	1–0	W

1. CfR Pforzheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	A	0–1	L
04 Feb	Karlsruher SC	A	0–1	L
28 Jan	MSV Duisburg	H	1–2	L
21 Jan	TuS Dassendorf	H	1–0	W
20 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	A	2–1	W
17 Dec	FC Hansa Rostock	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. VfL Wolfsburg is hosting 1. CfR Pforzheim for another epic battle.
1. CfR Pforzheim will have plenty to reflect on. VfL Wolfsburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

1. CfR Pforzheim Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2017-02-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 1. CfR Pforzheim W 2017-02-04 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2017-01-28 Wroxham FC 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2017-01-20 Hamburger SV 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2016-12-21 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 TuS Erndtebruck W 2016-12-18 RB Leipzig 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg W

1. CfR Pforzheim Form

2017-02-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 1. CfR Pforzheim L 2017-02-04 Karlsruher SC 1–0 1. CfR Pforzheim L 2017-01-28 1. CfR Pforzheim 1–2 MSV Duisburg L 2017-01-21 1. CfR Pforzheim 1–0 TuS Dassendorf W 2016-12-20 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 1. CfR Pforzheim W 2016-12-17 1. CfR Pforzheim 1–0 FC Hansa Rostock W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.6 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.86 1. CfR Pforzheim xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg to win 57% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg57% Draw25% 1. CfR Pforzheim18%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.46

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

82%

Draw or 1. CfR Pforzheim

43%

VfL Wolfsburg or 1. CfR Pforzheim

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg37% Draw48% 1. CfR Pforzheim15%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

12.6%

2 – 0

10.7%

0 – 0

10.6%

2 – 1

9.1%

0 – 1

6.3%

3 – 0

5.6%

3 – 1

4.9%

1 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

0 – 2

4 – 0

2.3%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	1. CfR Pforzheim covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	17%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	24%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	12%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

43% ✗

1. CfR Pforzheim keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.