VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2016

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1. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016

VfL Wolfsburg

1 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 4 Feb 2017 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

VfL Wolfsburg 1.20

Draw 7.50

1. FSV Mainz 05 13.00

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2017-02-04 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-09-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2016-04-16 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2015-11-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2015-02-03 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–1	D
28 Jan	Wroxham FC	A	2–1	W
20 Jan	Hamburger SV	A	2–1	W
21 Dec	TuS Erndtebruck	H	3–0	W
18 Dec	RB Leipzig	A	1–0	W
10 Dec	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	5–0	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–1	D
27 Jan	FC Hansa Rostock	H	0–1	L
21 Jan	1. FC Koln	H	1–0	W
20 Dec	TuS Dassendorf	A	1–2	L
17 Dec	Hamburger SV	H	1–1	D
11 Dec	SV Drochtersen/Assel	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 is underway.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonas Wind	7
Maximilian Arnold	3
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Max Kruse	3
Sebastiaan Bornauw	2
Stefan Bell	2
Wout Weghorst	2
Robin Quaison	2

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2017-02-04 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2017-01-28 Wroxham FC 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2017-01-20 Hamburger SV 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2016-12-21 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 TuS Erndtebruck W 2016-12-18 RB Leipzig 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2016-12-10 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 1. CfR Pforzheim W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2017-02-04 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2017-01-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 FC Hansa Rostock L 2017-01-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 1. FC Koln W 2016-12-20 TuS Dassendorf 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2016-12-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2016-12-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SV Drochtersen/Assel L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.67 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.88 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg to win 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg57% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0518%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

82%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

43%

VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg38% Draw47% 1. FSV Mainz 0515%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

12.1%

2 – 0

10.6%

0 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

9.2%

0 – 1

5.9%

3 – 0

5.8%

3 – 1

5.2%

1 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

2.9%

4 – 0

2.4%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	17%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	24%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	12%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.