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Valenciennes FC vs SM Caen, 2017

Ligue 1 2017/18 · 2017
Sat 15 Aug 2015 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs SM Caen — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Valenciennes FC 2.25
Draw 3.10
SM Caen 3.50

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug SM Caen H 1–0 W
08 Aug Senegal A 1–2 L
23 May ES Troyes AC H 0–1 L
16 May SSV Ulm 1846 A 0–1 L
09 May Senegal H 0–1 L
02 May SM Caen A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Valenciennes FC A 0–1 L
08 Aug Chamois Niortais FC H 0–2 L
23 May Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–2 L
16 May FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 1–2 L
10 May SV 07 Elversberg A 1–0 W
02 May Valenciennes FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
0.96 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC38% Draw32% SM Caen30%
Actual: Valenciennes FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.93
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
70%
Draw or SM Caen
62%
Valenciennes FC or SM Caen
68%

Half-Time Result

Valenciennes FC22% Draw56% SM Caen22%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.2%
1 – 3
2.1%
0 – 3
2.1%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 20% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
38%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.