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SM Caen vs FC Girondins de Bordeaux, 2014

Ligue 1 2014/15 · 2014
Sat 16 May 2015 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs FC Girondins de Bordeaux — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

SM Caen 7.50
Draw 4.50
FC Girondins de Bordeaux 1.44

Head-to-Head

1
6
7
SM Caen 14 games · Avg 1.6 goals FC Girondins de Bordeaux

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 1–2 L
10 May SV 07 Elversberg A 1–0 W
02 May Valenciennes FC H 0–0 D
26 Apr La Berrichonne de Chateauroux A 0–1 L
19 Apr AS Nancy-Lorraine H 1–0 W
12 Apr Amiens SC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May SM Caen A 2–1 W
08 May AC Ajaccio H 6–0 W
03 May Red Star FC A 2–0 W
28 Apr AJ Auxerre H 3–1 W
25 Apr Paris FC H 6–1 W
18 Apr GFC Ajaccio A 3–1 W

Key Stats

21% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

FC Girondins de Bordeaux Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 3
0.96 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 FC Girondins de Bordeaux xG
I would bet for: FC Girondins de Bordeaux or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen28% Draw31% FC Girondins de Bordeaux41%
Actual: FC Girondins de Bordeaux win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
59%
Draw or FC Girondins de Bordeaux
72%
SM Caen or FC Girondins de Bordeaux
69%

Half-Time Result

SM Caen20% Draw52% FC Girondins de Bordeaux28%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push FC Girondins de Bordeaux covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 17% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 22% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
30%
FC Girondins de Bordeaux keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.