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Valenciennes FC vs ES Troyes AC, 2014

Ligue 1 2014/15 · 2014
Sat 23 May 2015 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs ES Troyes AC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Valenciennes FC 3.10
Draw 3.40
ES Troyes AC 2.30

Head-to-Head

2
6
7
Valenciennes FC 15 games · Avg 2.4 goals ES Troyes AC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May ES Troyes AC H 0–1 L
16 May SSV Ulm 1846 A 0–1 L
09 May Senegal H 0–1 L
02 May SM Caen A 0–0 D
25 Apr GFC Ajaccio H 2–1 W
18 Apr Nimes Olympique A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Valenciennes FC A 1–0 W
16 May Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–1 D
09 May AS Nancy-Lorraine A 0–3 L
02 May FK Partizani H 2–0 W
26 Apr SSV Ulm 1846 A 4–2 W
19 Apr La Berrichonne de Chateauroux H 2–2 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Valenciennes FC gets underway.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
0.96 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: ES Troyes AC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC29% Draw31% ES Troyes AC40%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
60%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
71%
Valenciennes FC or ES Troyes AC
69%

Half-Time Result

Valenciennes FC20% Draw52% ES Troyes AC28%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 3
3.2%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 17% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 22% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
30%
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.