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Valenciennes FC vs SM Caen, 2017

Ligue 1 2017/18 · 2017
Sat 6 Dec 2014 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs SM Caen — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Valenciennes FC 2.05
Draw 3.20
SM Caen 4.00

Head-to-Head

5
8
4
Valenciennes FC 17 games · Avg 1.9 goals SM Caen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec SM Caen H 0–4 L
03 Dec GFC Ajaccio A 2–1 W
29 Nov Nimes Olympique H 2–0 W
22 Nov AC Ajaccio A 1–0 W
07 Nov VfR Wormatia 08 Worms H 1–0 W
02 Nov Red Star FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Valenciennes FC A 4–0 W
03 Dec La Berrichonne de Chateauroux H 0–2 L
29 Nov AS Nancy-Lorraine A 1–1 D
23 Nov Amiens SC H 2–0 W
08 Nov Senegal A 0–2 L
01 Nov FK Partizani H 2–0 W

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
0.92 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC23% Draw25% SM Caen52%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
49%
Draw or SM Caen
77%
Valenciennes FC or SM Caen
75%

Half-Time Result

Valenciennes FC14% Draw43% SM Caen43%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
0 – 2
10.6%
0 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 3
6.7%
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 1
4.5%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 11% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 40% 60%
+1 40% 23% 36%
+1.5 64% 36%
+2 64% 19% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
15%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.