Thursday , 2 July 2026

Valencia CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Tue 2 Jan 2024 · 20:30 UTC Estadio de Mestalla HT 45' · FT 45'
Roman Yaremchuk 4' 1–0
Pepelu pen 27' 2–0
Pepelu pen 57' 3–0
3–1 73' Gerard Moreno

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs Villarreal CFLa Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jan Villarreal CF H 3–1 W
19 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–0 W
16 Dec FC Barcelona H 1–1 D
08 Dec Getafe CF A 0–1 L
02 Dec Girona FC A 1–2 L
25 Nov RC Celta de Vigo H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jan Valencia CF A 1–3 L
20 Dec RC Celta de Vigo H 3–2 W
17 Dec Real Madrid CF A 1–4 L
14 Dec Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 3–2 W
09 Dec Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 0–3 L
06 Dec Maccabi Haifa FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Valencia CF Villarreal CF
#9 Position #3
49 Points 72
38 Played 38
13 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 22 / 6 / 10
46 Scored 72
55 Conceded 46
-9 GD +26
1.29 PPG 1.89
34% Win % 58%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Valencia CF are 9th (49 pts). Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Estadio de Mestalla. Valencia CF are looking to make home advantage count against Villarreal CF.
  • 4' Roman Yaremchuk has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 4 minutes.
  • 9' Cristhian Mosquera has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 422 appearances.
  • 14' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 14 minutes.
  • 17' Raul Albiol makes way for Eric Bailly at the 17 minute mark. A tactical switch from Villarreal CF.
  • 22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 27' Pepelu doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 32' Over 32 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 37' It’s a booking for Villarreal CF player. Eric Bailly gets a Yellow card.
  • 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 47' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 49' The referee shows Villarreal CF player a Yellow card on 49.
  • 54' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Etienne Capoue on 56 minutes.
  • 57' Brilliant from the ! Pepelu makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 57.
  • 62' Valencia CF currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 63' The referee has no hesitation. Gaya is booked for Valencia CF — Yellow card on 63.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Villarreal CF team. Etienne Capoue is replaced by Ben Brereton on 65 minute.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Sergi Canos as he leaves the pitch. Diego Lopez steps in for Valencia CF.
  • 73' Gerard Moreno doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 74' Diego Lopez picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Jesus Vazquez Alcalde. He replaces Gaya on 78 minute.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Villarreal CF team. Adria Altimira is replaced by Kiko Femenia on 79 minute.
  • 80' A moment of madness from RamonTerrats Espacio on 80 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Villarreal CF will be frustrated.
  • 85' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Villarreal CF that had 407 games and scored 555 goals.
  • 86' Another substitution for Valencia CF to replace Hugo Duro by Alberto Mari on 86 minute.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Villarreal CF player. Jorge Cuenca gets a Yellow card.
  • Another three points for Valencia CF.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Valencia CF or Villarreal CF 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valencia CF43% Draw25% Villarreal CF32%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
68%
Draw or Villarreal CF
57%
Valencia CF or Villarreal CF
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF30% Draw42% Villarreal CF28%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
21%
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.