Wednesday , 22 July 2026

Valencia CF vs UD Almería, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 13:00 UTC Estadio de Mestalla HT 45' · FT 45'
Hugo Duro 14' 1–0
Roman Yaremchuk 23' 2–0
2–1 50' Sergio Arribas

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs UD AlmeríaLa Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Muniz Ruiz (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Eliana Fernandez Gonzalez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Fabian Blanco Rodriguez (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb UD Almería H 2–1 W
28 Jan Club Atletico de Madrid A 0–2 L
20 Jan Athletic Club H 1–0 W
14 Jan Cadiz CF A 4–1 W
02 Jan Villarreal CF H 3–1 W
19 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Valencia CF A 1–2 L
26 Jan Deportivo Alaves H 0–3 L
21 Jan Real Madrid CF A 2–3 L
14 Jan Girona FC H 0–0 D
04 Jan CA Osasuna A 0–1 L
20 Dec FC Barcelona A 2–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Valencia CF have kicked off against UD Almeria. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Valencia CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 14' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hugo Duro makes it 1-0.
  • 19' Valencia CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 23' Roman Yaremchuk makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Valencia CF are in front.
  • 24' That is a Yellow card for Valencia CF. Roman Yaremchuk will be fuming at that decision.
  • 25' Valencia CF player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 34' Iddrisu Baba gets the nod from UD Almeria. He replaces Cesar Montes and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. UD Almeria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 49' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 49 minutes.
  • 50' Brilliant from the ! Sergio Arribas makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 50.
  • 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Giorgi Mamardashvili made 14 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Alex Centelles.
  • 61' Fresh legs for UD Almeria! Luka Romero comes on to replace Leo Baptistao.
  • 62' Poor challenge from Cristhian Mosquera. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 64' Controversy at the stadium! Edgar Gonzalez argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Fran Perez. He replaces Diego Lopez on 64 minute.
  • 66' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Cristhian Mosquera.
  • 70' A tactical swap from Valencia CFJesus Vazquez Alcalde on, Javier Guerra off on 70 minutes.
  • 72' The referee calls foul for Anthony Lozano. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 73' The referee calls foul for Hugo Guillamon. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 78' Gonzalo Melero, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 82' Marko Milovanovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Chumi at the 82 minute mark.
  • 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 90' The whistle greets Hugo Duro as he departs to be replaced by Selim Amallah.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Lucas Robertone. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 UD Almería xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valencia CF52% Draw25% UD Almería23%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
77%
Draw or UD Almería
48%
Valencia CF or UD Almería
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF34% Draw45% UD Almería21%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push UD Almería covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
31%
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.