Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sun 4 Nov 2018 · 07:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
  • Referee Jun Mihara
  • Referee Hiroyuki Kimura
  • Referee Yuki Tsukakoshi
7 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 7.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–0 W
20 Oct Vegalta Sendai A 3–2 W
06 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 0–1 L
29 Sep Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–2 L
22 Sep Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
15 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Jubilo Iwata H 0–0 D
06 Oct Vissel Kobe A 1–1 D
29 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 1–2 L
22 Sep Vegalta Sendai H 1–0 W
15 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 4–3 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sagan Tosu FC to score. At the same time, V-Varen Nagasaki does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The travelling V-Varen Nagasaki supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Joan Oumari has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' It’s high time Myung-Hwi Kim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' Riki Harakawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 50' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takuya Masuda suffering a number of foals already.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fernando Torres made 279 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 65' It looks like no one’s ball. V-Varen Nagasaki is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 70' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 75' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 80' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 80 minutes.
  • 85' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Ryutaro Iio has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Sagan Tosu FC and V-Varen Nagasaki (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.18 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC44% Draw30% V-Varen Nagasaki26%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
73%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
56%
Sagan Tosu FC or V-Varen Nagasaki
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw53% V-Varen Nagasaki20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
38%
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.