Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sun 4 Nov 2018 · 07:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
  • Referee Jun Mihara
  • Referee Hiroyuki Kimura
  • Referee Yuki Tsukakoshi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–0 W
20 Oct Vegalta Sendai A 3–2 W
06 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 0–1 L
29 Sep Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–2 L
22 Sep Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
15 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Júbilo Iwata H 0–0 D
06 Oct Vissel Kobe A 1–1 D
29 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 1–2 L
22 Sep Vegalta Sendai H 1–0 W
15 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 4–3 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
–/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
Matheus Jesus 3 G
Thiago Santana 3 G
Tenmu Matsumoto 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Sagan Tosu FC get us underway at .
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' V-Varen Nagasaki is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against V-Varen Nagasaki's shape.
  • 25' Juanma has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 45' V-Varen Nagasaki come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jordy Buijs, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
  • 65' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 70' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 75' V-Varen Nagasaki is showing some good football. However, V-Varen Nagasaki are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 80' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 85' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 90' It looks like no one’s ball. V-Varen Nagasaki is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sagan Tosu FC 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.18 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC44% Draw30% V-Varen Nagasaki26%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
73%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
56%
Sagan Tosu FC or V-Varen Nagasaki
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw53% V-Varen Nagasaki20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.