Uruguay vs Colombia, Copa Sudamericana 2024 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Uruguay vs Colombia — Copa Sudamericana .
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at . Uruguay are looking to make home advantage count against Colombia.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Colombia international Yerry Mina has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Miguel Borja, a Colombia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Colombia is showing some good football. However, Colombia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' Jose Maria Gimenez has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 531 appearances.
- 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 35' The referee calls foul for Diego Godin. He receives a card.
- 40' Colombia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 45' Uruguay are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
- 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Uruguay and Colombia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 60' It looks surprising Colombia does not make any changes. Rafael Santos Borre has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 65' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 67' A tactical swap from Colombia — Yimmi Chara on, Luis Muriel off on 67 minutes.
- 68' The Uruguay manager makes a substitution. Giorgian De Arrascaeta departs to be replaced by Facundo Torres Perez.
- 73' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 78' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Uruguay side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 80' Martin Caceres gets the nod from Uruguay. He replaces Federico Valverde and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 87' A tactical swap from Colombia — Miguel Borja on, Rafael Santos Borre off on 87 minutes.
- Colombia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Uruguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 21
- 3
- 2
- 9
- 15
- 6
- 5
- 1
- 8
- 17
Bench
- 23
- 14
- 18
-
22
Martin Caceres ↑ 80'
- 19
- 12
- 20
- 24
- 13
- 4
-
25
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 68'
- 26
Colombia Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 13
- 23
-
9
Luis Muriel ↓ Yimmi Chara 67'
- 1
- 7
- 5
- 14
- 6
- 16
- 18
Bench
-
28
Yimmi Chara ↑ 67'
-
19
Miguel Borja ↑ 87'
- 26
- 10
- 3
- 12
- 2
- 4
- 22
- 21
- 25
- 27
H2H
Head to Head
Uruguay Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56
Uruguay xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2
Colombia xG
I would bet for:
Uruguay or Colombia 75% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Colombia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.56
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Uruguay or Draw
57%
Draw or Colombia
68%
Uruguay or Colombia
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–4 not predicted2 – 4Actual
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Uruguay
| Handicap | Uruguay covers | Push | Colombia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 15% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Uruguay keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Colombia keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.