Uruguay vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Uruguay vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio de Union Santiago.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Uruguay have kicked off against Paraguay. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' Paraguay is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Edinson Cavani, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio de Union Santiago with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 21' The deadlock is broken! Edinson Cavani gets on the scoresheet on 21 minutes.
- 26' Uruguay are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Paraguay's shape.
- 31' Nahitan Nandez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 33' Fresh legs for Paraguay! Oscar Romero comes on to replace Miguel Almiron.
- 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 43' That looks like a foul for a card for Omar Alderete.
- 46' A change in the Uruguay ranks — Diego Godin exits the field as Sebastian Coates enters on 46.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Robert Rojas suffering a number of foals already.
- 57' Carlos Gonzalez gets the nod from Paraguay. He replaces Gabriel Avalos and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Uruguay needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 67' The supporters are chanting for Facundo Torres Perez. He replaces Giorgian De Arrascaeta on 67 minute.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Luis Suarez. He replaces Edinson Cavani on 68 minute.
- 73' The crowd applauds Braian Samudio as he leaves the pitch. Andres Cubas steps in for Paraguay.
- 74' The Paraguay bench stirs into life. Gaston Gimenez is withdrawn and Richard Sanchez gets his opportunity.
- 76' Fresh legs for Uruguay! Lucas Torreira comes on to replace Federico Valverde.
- 81' Uruguay currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 82' Poor challenge from Junior Alonso. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 87' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Uruguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Edinson Cavani ↓ Luis Suarez 68'
-
3
Diego Godin ↓ Sebastian Coates 46'
- 2
- 15
- 6
-
5
Matias Vecino ↓ Martin Caceres 57'
- 1
- 8
- 17
- 7
Bench
- 23
-
14
Lucas Torreira ↑ 76'
-
9
Luis Suarez ↑ 68'
-
22
Martin Caceres ↑ 57'
-
19
Sebastian Coates ↑ 46'
- 12
- 20
- 24
- 13
-
25
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 67'
- 26
- 11
Paraguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 6
-
10
Miguel Almiron ↓ Oscar Romero 33'
- 3
- 9
- 5
- 2
- 1
-
18
Braian Samudio ↓ Andres Cubas 73'
- 23
- 13
Bench
- 15
-
14
Andres Cubas ↑ 73'
- 12
-
21
Oscar Romero ↑ 33'
-
7
Carlos Gonzalez ↑ 57'
-
8
Richard Sanchez ↑ 74'
- 17
- 22
- 28
-
24
Hector Martinez ↑ 57'
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07
Uruguay xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66
Paraguay xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Uruguay win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 2.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Uruguay or Draw
79%
Draw or Paraguay
53%
Uruguay or Paraguay
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Uruguay win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
0.9%
Asian Handicap — Uruguay
| Handicap | Uruguay covers | Push | Paraguay covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 25% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 15% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Uruguay keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.