Uruguay vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Uruguay vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio de Union Santiago.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Uruguay and Paraguay is underway.
- 5' Uruguay is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Paraguay started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rodrigo Bentancur made 519 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Paraguay is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 21' GOAL! Edinson Cavani scores on 21.
- 26' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
- 33' Another change for Paraguay made on 33 minute. Miguel Almiron leaves to be changed by Oscar Romero.
- 38' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 43' The referee calls foul for Omar Alderete. He receives a card.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Sebastian Coates. He replaces Diego Godin on 46 minute.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jose Maria Gimenez, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio de Union Santiago with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 57' The whistle greets Gabriel Avalos as he departs to be replaced by Carlos Gonzalez.
- 62' It looks surprising Paraguay does not make any changes. Nahitan Nandez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 67' Facundo Torres Perez is replacing Giorgian De Arrascaeta for the Uruguay side.
- 68' Another change for Uruguay made on 68 minute. Edinson Cavani leaves to be changed by Luis Suarez.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Andres Cubas. He replaces Braian Samudio on 73 minute.
- 74' Time for substitution for Paraguay. Gaston Gimenez is replaced by Richard Sanchez.
- 76' The whistle greets Federico Valverde as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Torreira.
- 81' Robert Rojas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 82' It’s gonna be a card for Junior Alonso.
- 87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nicolas de la Cruz suffering a number of foals already.
- Another three points for Uruguay.
Lineups
Uruguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Edinson Cavani ↓ Luis Suarez 68'
-
3
Diego Godin ↓ Sebastian Coates 46'
- 2
- 15
- 6
-
5
Matias Vecino ↓ Martin Caceres 57'
- 1
- 8
- 17
- 7
Bench
- 23
-
14
Lucas Torreira ↑ 76'
-
9
Luis Suarez ↑ 68'
-
22
Martin Caceres ↑ 57'
-
19
Sebastian Coates ↑ 46'
- 12
- 20
- 24
- 13
-
25
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 67'
- 26
- 11
Paraguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 6
-
10
Miguel Almiron ↓ Oscar Romero 33'
- 3
- 9
- 5
- 2
- 1
-
18
Braian Samudio ↓ Andres Cubas 73'
- 23
- 13
Bench
- 15
-
14
Andres Cubas ↑ 73'
- 12
-
21
Oscar Romero ↑ 33'
-
7
Carlos Gonzalez ↑ 57'
-
8
Richard Sanchez ↑ 74'
- 17
- 22
- 28
-
24
Hector Martinez ↑ 57'
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07
Uruguay xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66
Paraguay xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Uruguay win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 2.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Uruguay or Draw
79%
Draw or Paraguay
53%
Uruguay or Paraguay
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Uruguay win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
0.9%
Asian Handicap — Uruguay
| Handicap | Uruguay covers | Push | Paraguay covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 25% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 15% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Uruguay keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.