Colombia vs Ecuador, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Colombia vs Ecuador — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Colombia welcome Ecuador for this crunch clash at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Colombia in their trying to find a way past Ecuador's compact .
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yerry Mina suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Moises Caicedo, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Mateus Uribe.
- 30' Ecuador fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 40' Michael Estrada has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 42' Against the run of play, Edwin Cardona has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 45' Yairo Moreno makes way for William Tesillo at the 45 minute mark. A tactical switch from Colombia.
- 50' It looks like no one’s ball. Ecuador is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 55' A quiet spell here at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin. Ecuador seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Angel Mena. He replaces Fidel Martinez on 59 minute.
- 61' It is a substitution in Colombia team. Mateus Uribe is replaced by Sebastian Perez on 61 minute.
- 66' Ecuador started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
- 69' Time for substitution for Ecuador. Michael Estrada is replaced by Jordy Caicedo.
- 74' Piero Hincapie is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ecuador so far.
- 79' Colombia receives a card for a hard tackle on 79.
- 80' Ecuador ring the changes. Moises Caicedo has done his job and it is now time for Damian Diaz to step up.
- 82' Colombia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gustavo Cuellar is hanging Edwin Cardona on the field on 82 minute.
- 87' The referee shows Ecuador player a card on 87.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Rafael Santos Borre is booked for Colombia — card on 90.
- Full Time. Colombia beats Ecuador
Lineups
Colombia Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Miguel Borja ↓ Duvan Zapata 61'
- 13
- 11
- 1
- 5
-
15
Mateus Uribe ↓ Sebastian Perez 61'
-
10
Edwin Cardona ↓ Gustavo Cuellar 82'
- 3
-
17
Yairo Moreno ↓ William Tesillo 45'
- 16
- 18
Bench
-
8
Gustavo Cuellar ↑ 82'
-
23
Davinson Sanchez ↑ 82'
- 9
-
7
Duvan Zapata ↑ 61'
- 14
-
6
William Tesillo ↑ 45'
- 20
- 12
- 2
- 22
-
21
Sebastian Perez ↑ 61'
- 25
Ecuador Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
- 20
- 13
-
19
Gonzalo Plata ↓ Ayrton Preciado 69'
- 12
- 17
-
11
Michael Estrada ↓ Jordy Caicedo 69'
-
8
Fidel Martinez ↓ Angel Mena 59'
- 3
-
23
Moises Caicedo ↓ Damian Diaz 80'
Bench
- 6
- 22
- 14
-
18
Ayrton Preciado ↑ 69'
-
15
Angel Mena ↑ 59'
- 9
-
26
Jordy Caicedo ↑ 69'
- 16
- 2
- 21
- 1
-
10
Damian Diaz ↑ 80'
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32
Colombia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55
Ecuador xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Colombia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Colombia or Draw
85%
Draw or Ecuador
44%
Colombia or Ecuador
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Colombia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
17.8%
2 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.1%
2 – 2
2.1%
4 – 0
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Colombia
| Handicap | Colombia covers | Push | Ecuador covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 17% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 28% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 11% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Colombia keeps clean sheet
58%
✓
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.