Argentina vs Uruguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Argentina vs Uruguay — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Argentina welcome Uruguay for this crunch clash at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Argentina are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 13' A stunning finish from Guido Rodriguez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 18' Nahitan Nandez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Uruguay so far.
- 23' Argentina have won 63 goals from 33 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 28' It looks surprising Argentina does not make any changes. Lautaro Martinez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' It looks like no one’s ball. Uruguay is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 38' Lucas Torreira has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' Nahitan Nandez is replacing Rodrigo Bentancur for the Uruguay side.
- 48' Argentina receives a card for a hard tackle on 48.
- 52' A change in the Argentina ranks — Giovani Lo Celso exits the field as Exequiel Palacios enters on 52.
- 57' Lionel Messi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Argentina tonight.
- 62' That is a card for Uruguay. Lucas Torreira will be fuming at that decision.
- 65' Uruguay make a change. Lucas Torreira trudges off to be replaced by Matias Vecino on 65 minutes.
- 70' Another change for Argentina made on 70 minute. Nicolas Gonzalez leaves to be changed by Angel di Maria.
- 75' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Emiliano Martinez.
- 80' The home supporters are growing impatient. Argentina must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 84' Fernando Gorriaran gets the nod from Uruguay. He replaces Federico Valverde and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' Argentina currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 90' The crowd applauds Rodrigo de Paul as he leaves the pitch. German Pezzella steps in for Argentina.
- 90' The referee shows Argentina player a card on 90.
- With this win, Argentina is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Argentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 19
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 22
- 7
- 8
- 13
- 26
- 18
Bench
- 9
- 3
-
11
Angel di Maria ↑ 70'
- 24
-
6
German Pezzella ↑ 90'
-
16
Joaquin Correa ↑ 52'
- 28
- 5
- 1
-
14
Exequiel Palacios ↑ 52'
- 4
- 2
Uruguay Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Lucas Torreira ↓ Matias Vecino 65'
- 21
- 3
- 2
- 9
- 15
- 6
- 1
- 13
- 17
- 7
Bench
- 23
- 10
-
5
Matias Vecino ↑ 65'
- 22
- 19
- 12
-
8
Nahitan Nandez ↑ 46'
- 20
-
24
Fernando Gorriaran ↑ 84'
- 4
-
25
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 70'
-
26
Brian Ocampo ↑ 65'
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15
Argentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69
Uruguay xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Argentina win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Argentina or Draw
80%
Draw or Uruguay
51%
Argentina or Uruguay
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Argentina win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
1.1%
Asian Handicap — Argentina
| Handicap | Argentina covers | Push | Uruguay covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 25% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 15% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Argentina keeps clean sheet
50%
✓
Uruguay keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
