Brazil vs Colombia, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Brazil vs Colombia — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Brazil launch into their encounter with Colombia.
- 5' Alex Sandro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' Luis Diaz adds to his 6 season tally! Colombia lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 14' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alex Sandro on 14 minutes.
- 19' Colombia is showing some good football. However, Colombia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 24' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Brazil and Colombia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 27' Brazil receives a card for a hard tackle on 27.
- 32' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 37' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 42' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' Brazil make a change. Everton Ribeiro trudges off to be replaced by Roberto Firmino on 46 minutes.
- 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Colombia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 62' Alex Sandro makes way for Renan Lodi at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Brazil.
- 64' Colombia make a change. Rafael Santos Borre trudges off to be replaced by Miguel Borja on 64 minutes.
- 68' Lucas Paqueta is replacing Fred for the Brazil side.
- 70' Colombia receives a card for a hard tackle on 70.
- 75' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Colombia that had 88 games and scored 23 goals.
- 77' Gabriel Barbosa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Richarlison at the 77 minute mark.
- 78' What a strike from Roberto Firmino! The score is 1-1.
- 81' Poor challenge from David Ospina. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 86' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 87' Neymar Jr. has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Wilmar Barrios argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' The Colombia manager makes a substitution. Luis Diaz departs to be replaced by Oscar Murillo.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Brazil take all three points.
Lineups
Brazil Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 12
-
7
Richarlison ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 77'
-
9
Gabriel Jesus ↓ Everton 77'
- 2
-
8
Fred ↓ Lucas Paqueta 68'
- 3
- 4
- 10
- 5
-
6
Alex Sandro ↓ Renan Lodi 62'
Bench
-
19
Everton ↑ 77'
-
17
Lucas Paqueta ↑ 68'
- 13
-
16
Renan Lodi ↑ 62'
- 1
-
20
Roberto Firmino ↑ 46'
- 15
- 23
- 25
- 18
- 14
-
21
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 77'
Colombia Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 23
- 11
- 1
-
7
Duvan Zapata ↓ Gustavo Cuellar 64'
- 5
- 15
-
14
Luis Diaz ↓ Oscar Murillo 90'
- 6
- 16
- 18
Bench
-
8
Gustavo Cuellar ↑ 64'
- 28
-
19
Miguel Borja ↑ 64'
- 9
- 26
- 10
-
3
Oscar Murillo ↑ 90'
- 12
- 2
- 4
- 22
- 25
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77
Brazil xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Colombia xG
I would bet for:
Brazil to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Brazil win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Brazil or Draw
81%
Draw or Colombia
43%
Brazil or Colombia
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Colombia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Brazil
| Handicap | Brazil covers | Push | Colombia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 24% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Brazil keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Colombia keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.