Brazil vs Colombia, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Brazil vs Colombia — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Brazil and Colombia has kicked off!
- 5' Yerry Mina needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' Against the run of play, Luis Diaz has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 14' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alex Sandro on 14.
- 19' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 24' Both keepers have barely been tested. Brazil and Colombia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 27' Poor challenge from Everton Ribeiro. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 32' Brazil are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 37' Gabriel Barbosa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Colombia so far.
- 42' Danilo Luiz da Silva, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' Roberto Firmino gets the nod from Brazil. He replaces Everton Ribeiro and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 56' Colombia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Brazil and Colombia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 62' Alex Sandro makes way for Renan Lodi at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Brazil.
- 64' It is a substitution in Colombia team. Rafael Santos Borre is replaced by Miguel Borja on 64 minute.
- 68' Fred makes way for Lucas Paqueta at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Brazil.
- 70' A meaty challenge results in booking for Juan Cuadrado on 70.
- 75' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 77' The whistle greets Richarlison as he departs to be replaced by Gabriel Barbosa.
- 78' Brilliant from the forward! Roberto Firmino makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 78.
- 81' The referee has no hesitation. David Ospina is booked for Colombia — card on 81.
- 86' Rafael Santos Borre is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Colombia tonight.
- 87' Neymar Jr. picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' Colombia player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' The Colombia bench stirs into life. Luis Diaz is withdrawn and Oscar Murillo gets his opportunity.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Brazil Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 12
-
7
Richarlison ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 77'
-
9
Gabriel Jesus ↓ Everton 77'
- 2
-
8
Fred ↓ Lucas Paqueta 68'
- 3
- 4
- 10
- 5
-
6
Alex Sandro ↓ Renan Lodi 62'
Bench
-
19
Everton ↑ 77'
-
17
Lucas Paqueta ↑ 68'
- 13
-
16
Renan Lodi ↑ 62'
- 1
-
20
Roberto Firmino ↑ 46'
- 15
- 23
- 25
- 18
- 14
-
21
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 77'
Colombia Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 23
- 11
- 1
-
7
Duvan Zapata ↓ Gustavo Cuellar 64'
- 5
- 15
-
14
Luis Diaz ↓ Oscar Murillo 90'
- 6
- 16
- 18
Bench
-
8
Gustavo Cuellar ↑ 64'
- 28
-
19
Miguel Borja ↑ 64'
- 9
- 26
- 10
-
3
Oscar Murillo ↑ 90'
- 12
- 2
- 4
- 22
- 25
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77
Brazil xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Colombia xG
I would bet for:
Brazil to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Brazil win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Brazil or Draw
81%
Draw or Colombia
43%
Brazil or Colombia
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Colombia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Brazil
| Handicap | Brazil covers | Push | Colombia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 24% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Brazil keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Colombia keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.