Sunday , 15 November 2026

US Catanzaro vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 10:30 UTC Nicola Ceravolo HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Catanzaro vs Spezia Calcio — Serie B at Nicola Ceravolo.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Piccinini

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Spezia Calcio H 4–2 W
18 Apr SS Juve Stabia A 1–1 D
14 Apr Modena FC 2018 H 2–2 D
11 Apr Calcio Avellino SSD A 1–1 D
06 Apr AC Monza H 1–1 D
21 Mar AC Cesena A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr US Catanzaro A 2–4 L
18 Apr FC Südtirol H 6–1 W
12 Apr Mantova 1911 SSD H 0–2 L
06 Apr Carrarese Calcio A 1–3 L
21 Mar SS Juve Stabia A 1–3 L
17 Mar Empoli FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
9% Clean Sheets
US Catanzaro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

US Catanzaro
0-15
1/–
16-30
4/3
31-45
–/7
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.86 US Catanzaro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Catanzaro54% Draw24% Spezia Calcio22%
Actual: US Catanzaro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

US Catanzaro or Draw
78%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
46%
US Catanzaro or Spezia Calcio
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
US Catanzaro37% Draw43% Spezia Calcio20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
8%
0 – 0
6.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — US Catanzaro

Handicap US Catanzaro covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

US Catanzaro keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.