Tuesday , 18 August 2026

UD Almeria vs Sevilla FC, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
2 2
Full Time
Mon 11 Mar 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos HT 45' · FT 45'
Adri Embarba 38' 1–0
1–1 81' Dodi Lukebakio
1–2 86' Lucas Ocampos
Marko Milovanovic 90+5' 2–2
Y 43' Loic Bade
Dion Lopy 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almeria vs Sevilla FCLa Liga at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos
  • Assistant 1 Iker De Francisco Grijalba (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Jon Nunez Fernandez (Spain)
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 8.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Sevilla FC H 2–2 D
01 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 0–1 L
24 Feb Club Atletico de Madrid H 2–2 D
18 Feb Granada CF A 1–1 D
12 Feb Athletic Club H 0–0 D
03 Feb Valencia CF A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar UD Almeria A 2–2 D
02 Mar Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 3–2 W
25 Feb Real Madrid CF A 0–1 L
17 Feb Valencia CF A 0–0 D
11 Feb Club Atletico de Madrid H 1–0 W
05 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sevilla FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos will turn into a battlefield for UD Almeria and Sevilla FC.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. UD Almeria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Suso, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Adri Embarba is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sevilla FC.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' Loic Bade has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 428 appearances.
  • 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. UD Almeria in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Sevilla FC's compact 5-3-2.
  • 38' Adri Embarba is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 43' Loic Bade catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
  • 48' Both keepers have barely been tested. UD Almeria and Sevilla FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Djibril Sow suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' Marcos Acuna has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jesus Navas on 60 minute.
  • 65' Time for substitution for UD Almeria. Anthony Lozano is replaced by Leo Baptistao.
  • 66' The UD Almeria bench stirs into life. Luka Romero is withdrawn and Lucas Robertone gets his opportunity.
  • 71' Nemanja Gudelj is replacing Oliver Torres for the Sevilla FC side.
  • 76' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 81' GOAL! Dodi Lukebakio scores on 81. Assisted by Isaac
  • 84' That is a card for UD Almeria. Dion Lopy will be fuming at that decision.
  • 84' A change in the UD Almeria ranks — Jonathan Viera exits the field as Sergio Arribas enters on 84.
  • 86' Sevilla FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lucas Ocampos on 86.
  • 88' UD Almeria ring the changes. Dion Lopy has done his job and it is now time for Largie Ramazani to step up.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Edgar Gonzalez on 90 minutes.
  • The points are shared — UD Almeria 2-2 Sevilla FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37 UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Sevilla FC xG
I would bet for: UD Almeria or Sevilla FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
UD Almeria35% Draw28% Sevilla FC37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

UD Almeria or Draw
64%
Draw or Sevilla FC
65%
UD Almeria or Sevilla FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Almeria26% Draw46% Sevilla FC28%
Actual: UD Almeria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — UD Almeria

Handicap UD Almeria covers Push Sevilla FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
25%
Sevilla FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.