Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Toulouse FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Olympique de Marseille

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 20:05 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille — Ligue 1 .

Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Olympique de Marseille 10 games · 18 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Bastien Dechepy

6 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 16.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain FC	10	23
2	Lille OSC	10	21
3	Paris FC	10	20
4	Olympique de Marseille	10	18
5	Olympique Lyonnais	10	17
6	OGC Nice	10	17
7	AS Monaco FC	10	16
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	10	16
9	Stade Brestois 29	10	15
10	FC Lorient	10	15
11	Racing Club de Lens	10	13
12	Toulouse FC	10	13
13	RC Strasbourg Alsace	10	10
14	AJ Auxerre	10	10
15	Le Mans FC	10	8
16	Angers SCO	10	8
17	ES Troyes AC	10	8
18	Le Havre AC	10	2

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 21 games · Avg 3.2 goals Olympique de Marseille

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 Toulouse FC 0–1 Olympique de Marseille 2025-11-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FC 2025-04-06 Olympique de Marseille 3–2 Toulouse FC 2024-08-31 Toulouse FC 1–3 Olympique de Marseille 2024-04-21 Toulouse FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Olympique de Marseille	H	0–1	L
28 Feb	Stade Rennais FC 1901	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Paris FC	H	1–1	D
15 Feb	Le Havre AC	A	1–2	L
08 Feb	Angers SCO	A	0–1	L
01 Feb	AJ Auxerre	H	0–0	D

Olympique de Marseille

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Toulouse FC	A	1–0	W
01 Mar	Olympique Lyonnais	H	3–2	W
20 Feb	Stade Brestois 29	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	RC Strasbourg Alsace	H	2–2	D
08 Feb	Paris Saint-Germain FC	A	0–5	L
31 Jan	Paris FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Toulouse FC		Olympique de Marseille
#12	Position	#4
13	Points	18
10	Played	10
3 / 4 / 3	W / D / L	6 / 0 / 4
15	Scored	22
14	Conceded	14
+1	GD	+8
1.30	PPG	1.80
30%	Win %	60%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

22% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

8/–

61-75

2/4

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Olympique de Marseille

0-15

4/3

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

6/2

61-75

2/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC

Casper Tengstedt	5 G	1 A
Thomas Jorgensen	3 G	1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe	2 G
Christ Tape	1 G

Olympique de Marseille

Amine Gouiri	7 G	3 A
Amine Harit	3 G	1 A
Himad Abdelli	3 G
Igor Paixao	2 G	1 A
Keyliane Abdallah	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Olympique de Marseille get us underway at .
Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dimitri Payet	4
Nuno Tavares	4
Cengiz Under	3
Mason Greenwood	3
Florian Thauvin	2
Valentin Rongier	2
Dimitri Payet	2
Rasmus Nicolaisen	2

Head to Head

Toulouse FC Form

2026-03-07 Toulouse FC 0–1 Olympique de Marseille L 2026-02-28 Stade Rennais FC 1901 1–0 Toulouse FC L 2026-02-21 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris FC D 2026-02-15 Le Havre AC 2–1 Toulouse FC L 2026-02-08 Angers SCO 1–0 Toulouse FC L 2026-02-01 Toulouse FC 0–0 AJ Auxerre D

Olympique de Marseille Form

2026-03-07 Toulouse FC 0–1 Olympique de Marseille W 2026-03-01 Olympique de Marseille 3–2 Olympique Lyonnais W 2026-02-20 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Olympique de Marseille L 2026-02-14 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 RC Strasbourg Alsace D 2026-02-08 Paris Saint-Germain FC 5–0 Olympique de Marseille L 2026-01-31 Paris FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.45 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.68 Olympique de Marseille xG

I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Olympique de Marseille 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC31% Draw26% Olympique de Marseille43%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.13

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

58%

Draw or Olympique de Marseille

69%

Toulouse FC or Olympique de Marseille

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toulouse FC25% Draw43% Olympique de Marseille32%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.5%

1 – 2

8.6%

2 – 1

7.4%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 2

6.1%

0 – 0

1 – 0

5.5%

1 – 3

4.8%

2 – 0

4.6%

3 – 1

3.6%

2 – 3

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	17%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	20%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet

24% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.