Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Toulouse FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Olympique de Marseille

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 20:05 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille — Ligue 1 .

Toulouse FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Olympique de Marseille 5 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Bastien Dechepy

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Monaco FC	5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille OSC	5	10
5	Stade Rennais FC 1901	5	10
6	Paris Saint-Germain FC	5	8
7	Angers SCO	5	7
8	RC Strasbourg Alsace	5	7
9	Le Mans FC	5	6
10	AJ Auxerre	5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	5
12	FC Lorient	5	5
13	Toulouse FC	5	5
14	OGC Nice	5	5
15	Racing Club de Lens	5	4
16	ES Troyes AC	5	4
17	Olympique de Marseille	5	3
18	Le Havre AC	5	2

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals Olympique de Marseille

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 Toulouse FC 0–1 Olympique de Marseille 2025-11-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FC 2025-04-06 Olympique de Marseille 3–2 Toulouse FC 2024-08-31 Toulouse FC 1–3 Olympique de Marseille 2024-04-21 Toulouse FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Olympique de Marseille	H	0–1	L
28 Feb	Stade Rennais FC 1901	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Paris FC	H	1–1	D
15 Feb	Le Havre AC	A	1–2	L
08 Feb	Angers SCO	A	0–1	L
01 Feb	AJ Auxerre	H	0–0	D

Olympique de Marseille

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Toulouse FC	A	1–0	W
01 Mar	Olympique Lyonnais	H	3–2	W
20 Feb	Stade Brestois 29	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	RC Strasbourg Alsace	H	2–2	D
08 Feb	Paris Saint-Germain FC	A	0–5	L
31 Jan	Paris FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Toulouse FC		Olympique de Marseille
#13	Position	#17
5	Points	3
5	Played	5
1 / 2 / 2	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 4
7	Scored	7
9	Conceded	8
-2	GD	-1
1.00	PPG	0.60
20%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/2

46-60

3/–

61-75

2/3

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Olympique de Marseille

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/2

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC

Casper Tengstedt	3 G
Thomas Jorgensen	2 G	1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe	1 G
Christ Tape	1 G

Olympique de Marseille

Amine Gouiri	4 G	1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg	1 G
Keyliane Abdallah	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Toulouse FC to score. At the same time, Olympique de Marseille does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Toulouse FC.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nuno Tavares	4
Dimitri Payet	4
Cengiz Under	3
Mason Greenwood	3
Valentin Rongier	2
Dimitri Payet	2
Rasmus Nicolaisen	2
Branco van den Boomen	2

Head to Head

Toulouse FC Form

2026-03-07 Toulouse FC 0–1 Olympique de Marseille L 2026-02-28 Stade Rennais FC 1901 1–0 Toulouse FC L 2026-02-21 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris FC D 2026-02-15 Le Havre AC 2–1 Toulouse FC L 2026-02-08 Angers SCO 1–0 Toulouse FC L 2026-02-01 Toulouse FC 0–0 AJ Auxerre D

Olympique de Marseille Form

2026-03-07 Toulouse FC 0–1 Olympique de Marseille W 2026-03-01 Olympique de Marseille 3–2 Olympique Lyonnais W 2026-02-20 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Olympique de Marseille L 2026-02-14 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 RC Strasbourg Alsace D 2026-02-08 Paris Saint-Germain FC 5–0 Olympique de Marseille L 2026-01-31 Paris FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.54 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.53 Olympique de Marseille xG

I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Olympique de Marseille 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC35% Draw26% Olympique de Marseille39%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.07

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

61%

Draw or Olympique de Marseille

65%

Toulouse FC or Olympique de Marseille

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toulouse FC28% Draw44% Olympique de Marseille28%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.8%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

0 – 0

6.3%

1 – 0

6.3%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

6.2%

2 – 0

5.5%

0 – 2

5.4%

3 – 1

4.2%

1 – 3

4.1%

3 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	18%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	18%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet

22% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.