Sunday , 4 October 2026

Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2026-27
0 – 1
Full Time
Thu 3 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC Stade Municipal HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 73' Ayase Ueda

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC — Ligue 1 at Stade Municipal.

Match Details

  • Referee Mathieu Vernice
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 15.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep Lille OSC H 0–1 L
29 Aug Stade Brestois 29 A 2–2 D
22 Aug Olympique Lyonnais H 0–2 L
17 May FC Nantes A 0–0 D
10 May Olympique Lyonnais H 2–1 W
03 May RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep Toulouse FC A 1–0 W
28 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–2 D
23 Aug Angers SCO A 2–0 W
17 May AJ Auxerre H 0–2 L
10 May AS Monaco FC A 1–0 W
03 May Le Havre AC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Lille OSC
#13 Position #4
5 Points 10
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 1
7 Scored 8
9 Conceded 4
-2 GD +4
1.00 PPG 2.00
20% Win % 60%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
60% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season

Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts). Lille OSC are 4th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Lille OSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stade Municipal. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Osame Sahraoui is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Lille OSC so far.
  • 15' Christ Tape, a Ivory Coast , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' Santiago Hidalgo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 20.
  • 25' Denmark international Thomas Jorgensen has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' Lille OSC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 35' Alexsandro Ribeiro is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Lille OSC tonight.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' It’s high time Davide Ancelotti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Dilane Bakwa. He replaces Osame Sahraoui on 46 minute.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' Lille OSC is showing some good football. However, Lille OSC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 57' The crowd applauds Santiago Hidalgo as he leaves the pitch. Julian Vignolo steps in for Toulouse FC.
  • 62' It is a cagey affair so far. Toulouse FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Lille OSC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 65' Casper Tengstedt has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jacen Russell-Rowe on 65 minute.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Rafik Messali as he leaves the pitch. Ismail Diallo steps in for Toulouse FC.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Nabil Bentaleb as he leaves the pitch. Basar Onal steps in for Lille OSC.
  • 72' Another change for Toulouse FC made on 72 minute. Alexis Vossah leaves to be changed by Niklas Schmidt.
  • 73' Against the run of play, Ayase Ueda has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 78' Toulouse FC currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 83' Toulouse FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Lille OSC backline.
  • 88' Basar Onal needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • Another three points for Lille OSC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.65 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 59% + Lille OSC to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC17% Draw25% Lille OSC58%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
41%
Draw or Lille OSC
83%
Toulouse FC or Lille OSC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC10% Draw46% Lille OSC44%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
13.7%
1 – 1
10.6%
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 3
8.2%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
4.5%
0 – 4
3.8%
2 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.9%
1 – 4
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% — 97%
-1 3% 8% 89%
-0.5 11% — 89%
+0.5 36% — 64%
+1 36% 26% 39%
+1.5 61% — 39%
+2 61% 20% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.