Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toronto FC vs Nashville SC, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2021
Sun 1 Aug 2021 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 67' Dax McCarty

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Aug Nashville SC H 1–1 D
25 Jul Chicago Fire FC A 2–1 W
21 Jul New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
17 Jul Orlando City SC H 1–1 D
07 Jul New England Revolution A 3–2 W
03 Jul D.C. United SC A 1–7 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Aug Toronto FC A 1–1 D
25 Jul FC Cincinnati H 3–0 W
21 Jul Columbus Crew SC A 0–0 D
18 Jul Chicago Fire FC H 5–1 W
09 Jul Atlanta United FC H 2–2 D
04 Jul Philadelphia Union H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC Nashville SC
#12 Position #1
17 Points 40
18 Played 18
3 / 8 / 7 W / D / L 12 / 4 / 2
24 Scored 35
32 Conceded 14
-8 GD +21
0.94 PPG 2.22
17% Win % 67%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
42% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 10 G
Hany Mukhtar 6 G 4 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Nashville SC gets underway.
  • 5' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Omar Gonzalez makes it 1-0.
  • 25' Nashville SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' Michael Bradley has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 284 appearances.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dax McCarty, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 41' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Robert Castellanos makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 46' Randall Leal has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 58' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Ralph Priso-Mbongue is withdrawn and Jonathan Osorio gets his opportunity.
  • 63' The Nashville SC bench stirs into life. Brian Anunga is withdrawn and Alex Muyl gets his opportunity.
  • 67' Controversy at the stadium! Dax McCarty argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Nashville SC! Jack Maher comes on to replace Alistair Johnston.
  • 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 76' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Jozy Altidore is withdrawn and Dominic Dwyer gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Ake Arnaud Loba is replacing Randall Leal for the Nashville SC side.
  • 82' It looks surprising Nashville SC does not make any changes. Hany Mukhtar has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 87' Taylor Washington is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nashville SC so far.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.82 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 Nashville SC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC24% Draw28% Nashville SC48%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Nashville SC
76%
Toronto FC or Nashville SC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC14% Draw48% Nashville SC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.2%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
11.1%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.1%
0 – 3
5.9%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
2.8%
0 – 4
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Nashville SC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 25% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.