Thursday , 1 October 2026

Tokyo Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 11 May 2025 · 06:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Koki Morita 54' Y
Y 88' Sho Fukuda

Overview

Match Preview

Tokyo Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Shonan Bellmare H 0–2 L
06 May Yokohama FC H 2–0 W
03 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–2 L
29 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
25 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
20 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Tokyo Verdy A 2–0 W
07 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L
03 May Gamba Osaka A 0–4 L
29 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
25 Apr FC Machida Zelvia A 1–0 W
20 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 0–1 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
Naoki Hayashi 2 G
Shuhei Mizoguchi 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Tokyo Verdy is hosting Shonan Bellmare for another epic battle.
  • 5' Tokyo Verdy are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Shonan Bellmare backline.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Tokyo Verdy currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Japan international Yuta Arai has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' Sho Fukuda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Tokyo Verdy tonight.
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 50' Shonan Bellmare fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Koki Morita on 54.
  • 56' Akito Suzuki gets the nod from Shonan Bellmare. He replaces Yutaro Oda and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 58' It is a substitution in Tokyo Verdy team. Kosuke Saito is replaced by Yuan Matsuhashi on 58 minute.
  • 62' What a moment for Kohei Okuno! That strike on 62 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 66' Another substitution for Tokyo Verdy to replace Itsuki Someno by Yudai Kimura on 66 minute.
  • 71' Masaki Ikeda makes way for Hiroaki Okuno at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
  • 76' The 25-year-old Soma Meshino has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 81' Another substitution for Tokyo Verdy to replace Yuta Arai by Tetsuyuki Inami on 81 minute.
  • 86' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Itsuki Someno made 454 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 88' That is a card for Shonan Bellmare. Sho Fukuda will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Shonan Bellmare make a change. Kohei Okuno trudges off to be replaced by Akimi Barada on 90 minutes.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Tokyo Verdy or Shonan Bellmare 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Tokyo Verdy35% Draw31% Shonan Bellmare34%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Tokyo Verdy or Draw
66%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
65%
Tokyo Verdy or Shonan Bellmare
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Tokyo Verdy24% Draw51% Shonan Bellmare25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.2%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 0
10.1%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy

Handicap Tokyo Verdy covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.