Thursday , 2 July 2026

Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Tokyo Verdy
2 – 1
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 05:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuto Tsunashima 40' Y
Y 88' Tsukasa Morishima

Overview

Match Preview

Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Tokyo Verdy 4 games · Avg 1.3 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-08-11 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Tokyo Verdy 2024-06-22 Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 2–1 W
08 Mar Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
02 Mar Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
26 Feb FC Machida Zelvia A 1–0 W
22 Feb Kashima Antlers A 0–4 L
16 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Tokyo Verdy A 1–2 L
08 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D
02 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L
26 Feb FC Tōkyō A 1–3 L
22 Feb Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
15 Feb Kawasaki Frontale A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Tokyo Verdy Nagoya Grampus
#15 Position #3
28 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
29 Scored 46
32 Conceded 44
-3 GD +2
1.56 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Tokyo Verdy and Nagoya Grampus has kicked off!
  • 5' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Tokyo Verdy needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 21' GOAL! Tsukasa Morishima scores on 21. Assisted by Sho Inagaki
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Tokyo Verdy that had 95 games and scored 82 goals.
  • 34' Tokyo Verdy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rei Hirakawa is hanging Koki Morita on the field on 34 minute.
  • 39' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' It’s a booking for Tokyo Verdy player. Yuto Tsunashima gets a card.
  • 45' Yohei Takeda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Tokyo Verdy. Kazuya Miyahara is replaced by Hiroto Yamami.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 63' GOAL! Hiroto Yamami scores on 63.
  • 67' The whistle greets Katsuhiro Nakayama as he departs to be replaced by Takuya Uchida.
  • 72' It looks like no one’s ball. Tokyo Verdy is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 73' GOAL! Yuto Tsunashima scores on 73. Assisted by Hiroto Yamami
  • 78' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Takuya Uchida has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 81' Taichi Kikuchi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 81 minute.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Ryosuke Yamanaka. He replaces Itsuki Someno on 86 minute.
  • 87' The Tokyo Verdy manager makes a substitution. Kosuke Saito departs to be replaced by Yuan Matsuhashi.
  • 88' Nagoya Grampus receives a card for a hard tackle on 88.
  • 90' Another substitution for Tokyo Verdy to replace Yuta Arai by Tetsuyuki Inami on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Tokyo Verdy players.

Lineups

Tokyo Verdy Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hijiri Onaga 1
Patric 1
Tsukasa Morishima 1
Hiroto Yamami 1
Yuto Tsunashima 1

Head to Head

2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-08-11 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Tokyo Verdy 2024-06-22 Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Tokyo Verdy Form

2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-03-08 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Tokyo Verdy D 2025-03-02 Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Gamba Osaka L 2025-02-26 FC Machida Zelvia 0–1 Tokyo Verdy W 2025-02-22 Kashima Antlers 4–0 Tokyo Verdy L 2025-02-16 Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-02-26 FC Tōkyō 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-02-22 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2025-02-15 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75 Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Tokyo Verdy48% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus28%
Actual: Tokyo Verdy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Tokyo Verdy or Draw
72%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
52%
Tokyo Verdy or Nagoya Grampus
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Tokyo Verdy33% Draw43% Nagoya Grampus24%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.2%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy

Handicap Tokyo Verdy covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.