Thursday , 1 October 2026

Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Tokyo Verdy
2 – 1
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 05:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuto Tsunashima 40' Y
Y 88' Tsukasa Morishima

Overview

Match Preview

Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Tokyo Verdy 4 games · Avg 1.3 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-08-11 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Tokyo Verdy 2024-06-22 Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 2–1 W
08 Mar Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
02 Mar Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
26 Feb FC Machida Zelvia A 1–0 W
22 Feb Kashima Antlers A 0–4 L
16 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Tokyo Verdy A 1–2 L
08 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D
02 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L
26 Feb FC Tokyo A 1–3 L
22 Feb Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
15 Feb Kawasaki Frontale A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Tokyo Verdy Nagoya Grampus
#15 Position #3
28 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
29 Scored 46
32 Conceded 44
-3 GD +2
1.56 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
Naoki Hayashi 2 G
Shuhei Mizoguchi 1 G
Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Ajinomoto Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Tokyo Verdy and Nagoya Grampus.
  • 5' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Taichi Kikuchi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Tokyo Verdy started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 21' The Japan Tsukasa Morishima breaks the deadlock on 21 minutes. 0-1!
  • 26' Sho Inagaki has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 31' Nagoya Grampus have won 403 goals from 446 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 34' It is a substitution in Tokyo Verdy team. Koki Morita is replaced by Rei Hirakawa on 34 minute.
  • 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 40' Poor challenge from Yuto Tsunashima. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Tokyo Verdy must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' Hiroto Yamami gets the nod from Tokyo Verdy. He replaces Kazuya Miyahara and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' Brazil international Mateus has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 63' GOAL! Hiroto Yamami scores on 63.
  • 67' The whistle greets Katsuhiro Nakayama as he departs to be replaced by Takuya Uchida.
  • 72' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 73' Yuto Tsunashima is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 78' A quiet spell here at Ajinomoto Stadium. Tokyo Verdy seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 81' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Ryuji Izumi exits the field as Taichi Kikuchi enters on 81.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Ryosuke Yamanaka comes on to replace Itsuki Someno.
  • 87' Tokyo Verdy ring the changes. Kosuke Saito has done his job and it is now time for Yuan Matsuhashi to step up.
  • 88' Controversy at the stadium! Tsukasa Morishima argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Tetsuyuki Inami is replacing Yuta Arai for the Tokyo Verdy side.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

Tokyo Verdy Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tsukasa Morishima 1
Hiroto Yamami 1
Yuto Tsunashima 1
Hijiri Onaga 1
Patric 1

Head to Head

2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-08-11 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Tokyo Verdy 2024-06-22 Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Tokyo Verdy Form

2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-03-08 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Tokyo Verdy D 2025-03-02 Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Gamba Osaka L 2025-02-26 FC Machida Zelvia 0–1 Tokyo Verdy W 2025-02-22 Kashima Antlers 4–0 Tokyo Verdy L 2025-02-16 Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-02-26 FC Tokyo 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-02-22 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2025-02-15 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75 Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Tokyo Verdy48% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus28%
Actual: Tokyo Verdy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Tokyo Verdy or Draw
72%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
52%
Tokyo Verdy or Nagoya Grampus
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Tokyo Verdy33% Draw43% Nagoya Grampus24%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.2%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy

Handicap Tokyo Verdy covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.