Tōkyō Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Tōkyō Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- Tōkyō Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Aug | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Jul | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Tōkyō Verdy | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #4 |
| 28 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 29 | Scored | 41 |
| 32 | Conceded | 33 |
| -3 | GD | +8 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Tōkyō Verdy this season
Tōkyō Verdy this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Tōkyō Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tōkyō Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Tōkyō Verdy to score. At the same time, Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Tōkyō Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 6' What a strike from Shuto Nakano! The score is 0-1.
- 11' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Satoshi Tanaka made 418 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 12' That looks like a foul for a card for Itsuki Someno.
- 17' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 22' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 28' It’s gonna be a card for Hiroto Taniguchi.
- 33' It looks like no one’s ball. Tōkyō Verdy is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 38' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Skibbe might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 46' Ryo Germain is replacing Valere Germain for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- 51' Tōkyō Verdy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' Tōkyō Verdy are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 60' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 60 minute. Kosuke Kinoshita leaves to be changed by Hayao Kawabe.
- 62' A goal from the Japan international Sota Nakamura! He fires home on 62 to make it 0-2!
- 66' The whistle greets Yuya Fukuda as he departs to be replaced by Yuan Matsuhashi.
- 71' Tōkyō Verdy have won 83 goals from 96 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 76' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 77' Time for substitution for Tokyo Verdy. Itsuki Someno is replaced by Ryosuke Shirai.
- 80' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rei Hirakawa on 80 minutes.
- 83' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Naoto Arai makes no mistake. 0-3!
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Shoji Toyama. He replaces Ryota Inoue on 86 minute.
- 87' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Marcos Junior on, Sota Nakamura off on 87 minutes.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Tōkyō Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 14
- 6
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 20
- 40
- 5
Bench
- 38
- 37
- 19
- 21
- 17
- 27
- 25
- 71
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
98
Valere Germain ↓ Ryo Germain 46'
- 1
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↓ Hayao Kawabe 60'
- 33
- 4
- 14
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Sota Koshimichi 87'
- 15
- 35
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↓ Marcos Junior 87'
-
37
Ju-sung Kim ↓ Shunki Higashi 77'
Bench
-
10
Marcos Junior ↑ 87'
-
9
Ryo Germain ↑ 46'
- 3
-
6
Hayao Kawabe ↑ 60'
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 77'
- 41
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 87'
- 51
- 38
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Pieros Sotiriou | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
| Valere Germain | 1 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
Head to Head
Tōkyō Verdy Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-08-23
Tōkyō Verdy
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-08-20
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Vissel Kobe
L
2025-08-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Gamba Osaka
W
2025-08-10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
2025-07-20
Albirex Niigata
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.95
Tōkyō Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Tōkyō Verdy or Draw
45%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
80%
Tōkyō Verdy or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
0 – 2
10.3%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 0
4.4%
0 – 4
3.2%
1 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Tōkyō Verdy
| Handicap | Tōkyō Verdy covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +1 | 41% | 23% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
Tōkyō Verdy keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.