Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cambridge United FC vs Birmingham City FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2025-26
Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cambridge United FC vs Birmingham City FCFA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew Corlett (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Birmingham City FC H 2–3 L
06 Dec Stockport County FC A 5–4 W
01 Nov Chester FC H 3–0 W
03 May Birmingham City FC H 1–2 L
26 Apr Burton Albion FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Cambridge United FC A 3–2 W
04 Jan Coventry City FC H 3–2 W
01 Jan Watford FC A 0–3 L
29 Dec Southampton FC H 1–1 D
26 Dec Derby County FC H 1–1 D
20 Dec Sheffield United FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Cambridge United FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cambridge United FC
Kylian Kouassi 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Cambridge United FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 Cambridge United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Cambridge United FC or Birmingham City FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cambridge United FC34% Draw26% Birmingham City FC40%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Cambridge United FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
66%
Cambridge United FC or Birmingham City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cambridge United FC27% Draw43% Birmingham City FC30%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Cambridge United FC

Handicap Cambridge United FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Cambridge United FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.